Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Orsomarso vs Cucuta

Colombia Colombia

Copa Colombia Estadio Daniel Villa Zapata, Barrancabermeja
Our Tip

Match Events

47' Event
Agudelo J.
64' Event
Barreiro J.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-1. This leg finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Orsomarso
20%
Draws
51%
Cucuta
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Cucuta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Cucuta at 1 per game, Orsomarso at 0.76.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Cucuta, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 22%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Orsomarso Clean Sheet 20%
Cucuta Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Orsomarso Cucuta
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 6 6
Draws 11 11
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 0.76 1
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Copa Colombia
Orsomarso vs Cucuta
1:1
Oct 25, 2025 Primera B
Cucuta vs Orsomarso
1:0
May 18, 2025 Primera B
Orsomarso vs Cucuta
2:2
Aug 17, 2024 Primera B
Cucuta vs Orsomarso
0:1
Feb 24, 2024 Primera B
Orsomarso vs Cucuta
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Orsomarso Compare

Top Goalscorer Barreiro J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Cucuta Compare

Top Goalscorer Agudelo J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Orsomarso 32 / 100
Cucuta 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Orsomarso Cucuta

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cucuta's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Orsomarso found the back of the net in 52% of recent matches (29 games).

Orsomarso went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Orsomarso VS Cucuta
0.5 Goals Scored 0.88
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
50% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Orsomarso

(Home)
14 Sept
Orsomarso
0 : 2
Atletico F.C.
10 Sept
Orsomarso
0 : 2
Tigres Futbol Club
05 Sept
Orsomarso
0 : 1
Cartagena
24 Aug
Orsomarso
2 : 0
Real Cundinamarca
20 Aug
Patriotas
1 : 1
Orsomarso
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Cucuta

(Away)
14 Sept
Cucuta
1 : 2
Millonarios
05 Sept
Cucuta
2 : 2
Dep. Pasto
01 Sept
Deportes Tolima
2 : 1
Cucuta
26 Aug
Cucuta
1 : 0
Alianza
23 Aug
Ind. Medellin
0 : 1
Cucuta
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dep. Cali 4 4 0 0 10:2 12
2 Alianza 4 2 1 1 6:3 7
3 Boca Juniors de Cali 4 2 1 1 8:8 7
4 Bucaramanga 4 1 0 3 8:7 3
5 Real Santander 4 0 0 4 1:13 0
Promotion - Copa Colombia (First stage - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Millonarios 4 3 1 0 14:5 10
2 Llaneros 4 3 0 1 7:2 9
3 Chico 4 1 2 1 6:3 5
4 Patriotas 4 0 2 2 4:7 2
5 Atletico F.C. 4 0 1 3 2:16 1
Promotion - Copa Colombia (First stage - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ind. Medellin 4 2 2 0 5:3 8
2 Fortaleza C.E.I.F. 4 1 2 1 5:3 5
3 Leones 4 1 2 1 4:5 5
4 Cucuta 4 0 3 1 2:3 3
5 Orsomarso 4 0 3 1 3:5 3
Promotion - Copa Colombia (First stage - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dep. Pereira 4 2 2 0 4:2 8
2 Real Cundinamarca 4 2 1 1 6:4 7
3 Aguilas Doradas 4 1 3 0 7:4 6
4 Jaguares de Cordoba 4 1 1 2 4:3 4
5 Independiente Valle del Cauca 4 0 1 3 2:10 1
Promotion - Copa Colombia (First stage - Play Offs)