Sport Picks
Match Events
3'
3'
Girado S.
46'
46'
Sub
Hernandez J. In: Parra J.
Out: Hernandez J.
52'
52'
Sub
Arrechea S. In: Martinez S.
Out: Arrechea S.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Primera B matchup, with the score ending 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
64%
20%
16%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Orsomarso
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
64%
/ High Confidence
- Attack-wise there's a gap: Orsomarso at 0.71 per game, Leones at 0.69.
- Orsomarso are the model's pick here, at 70%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 17%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
Orsomarso Clean Sheet 68%
Leones Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Orsomarso | Leones |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 6 | 6 |
| Draws | 11 | 9 |
| Losses | 11 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 0.71 | 0.69 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.04 | 1.52 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.06 | 0.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 12, 2026 Copa Colombia
Leones vs Orsomarso
2:0
Apr 18, 2026 Primera B
Orsomarso vs Leones
0:0
Jul 19, 2025 Primera B
Leones vs Orsomarso
0:1
Feb 9, 2025 Primera B
Orsomarso vs Leones
2:3
Sep 8, 2024 Primera B
Orsomarso vs Leones
1:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Orsomarso 77 / 100
Leones 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Orsomarso Leones
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Orsomarso Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Leones has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.
H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.
Difficult form: Leones registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.
Orsomarso's goal record stands at 50% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
Scoring Trends
Orsomarso VS Leones
0.5 Goals Scored 0.75
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
50% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Orsomarso
(Home) 22 Sept
Real Santander
0 : 0 Orsomarso
14 Sept
Orsomarso
0 : 2 Atletico F.C.
10 Sept
Orsomarso
0 : 2 Tigres Futbol Club
05 Sept
Orsomarso
0 : 1 Cartagena
24 Aug
Orsomarso
2 : 0 Real Cundinamarca
Page 1 of 6
14 Sept
Orsomarso
0 : 2 Atletico F.C.
10 Sept
Orsomarso
0 : 2 Tigres Futbol Club
05 Sept
Orsomarso
0 : 1 Cartagena
24 Aug
Orsomarso
2 : 0 Real Cundinamarca
26 Jul
Orsomarso
1 : 0 Barranquilla
Page 1 of 3
Leones
(Away) 19 Sept
Leones
1 : 2 Boca Juniors de Cali
12 Sept
Envigado
1 : 1 Leones
04 Sept
Leones
0 : 3 Atletico F.C.
28 Aug
Independiente Valle del Cauca
1 : 0 Leones
24 Aug
Leones
1 : 6 Cartagena
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Envigado
1 : 1 Leones
28 Aug
Independiente Valle del Cauca
1 : 0 Leones
06 Aug
Bogota
0 : 1 Leones
24 Jul
Tigres Futbol Club
0 : 1 Leones
16 May
Cucuta
0 : 0 Leones
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inter Palmira | 15 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 29:13 | 38 |
| 2 | Union Magdalena | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 27:15 | 32 |
| 3 | Quindio | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 20:10 | 31 |
| 4 | Envigado | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 24:14 | 29 |
| 5 | Cartagena | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 23:15 | 26 |
| 6 | Bogota | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 16:14 | 23 |
| 7 | Barranquilla | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 21:20 | 20 |
| 8 | Tigres Futbol Club | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 15:14 | 20 |
| 9 | Independiente Valle del Cauca | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 13:14 | 19 |
| 10 | Orsomarso | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 13:17 | 17 |
| 11 | Patriotas | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 13:17 | 17 |
| 12 | Boca Juniors de Cali | 15 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 15:20 | 13 |
| 13 | Real Cundinamarca | 15 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 14:19 | 13 |
| 14 | Leones | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 8:24 | 10 |
| 15 | Atletico F.C. | 15 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 12:23 | 9 |
| 16 | Real Santander | 15 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 9:23 | 7 |
Promotion - Primera B (Apertura - Quadrangular)
