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Orsomarso vs Real Cundinamarca - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Colombia Colombia

Primera B Estadio Daniel Villa Zapata, Barrancabermeja
Our Tip

Match Events

30'
Sub
Lasso M. In: Ruiz A.
Out: Lasso M.
45'
Acosta O.
49' Event
Campaz B.

AI Match Summary

The Primera B game between Orsomarso and Real Cundinamarca finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Orsomarso.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

11%
Orsomarso
20%
Draws
69%
Real Cundinamarca
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Real Cundinamarca

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Real Cundinamarca come out ahead of Orsomarso on wins alone.
  • Model gives Real Cundinamarca a 69% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Primera B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Orsomarso Clean Sheet 16%
Real Cundinamarca Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Orsomarso Real Cundinamarca
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 5 10
Draws 12 9
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 0.75 1.37
Goals Conceded 1.11 1.15
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 24, 2026 Primera B
Orsomarso vs Real Cundinamarca
2:0
Feb 22, 2026 Primera B
Real Cundinamarca vs Orsomarso
1:0
Oct 7, 2025 Primera B
Real Cundinamarca vs Orsomarso
1:1
Apr 28, 2025 Primera B
Orsomarso vs Real Cundinamarca
0:1
Jul 22, 2024 Primera B
Real Cundinamarca vs Orsomarso
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Orsomarso Compare

Top Goalscorer Campaz B.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Real Cundinamarca Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Orsomarso 19 / 100
Real Cundinamarca 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Orsomarso Real Cundinamarca

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Real Cundinamarca Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Real Cundinamarca's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 27 matches.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Orsomarso found the back of the net in 50% of recent matches (28 games).

Solid form: Orsomarso remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Orsomarso VS Real Cundinamarca
0.63 Goals Scored 1.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 88%
13% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Orsomarso

(Home)
06 Oct
Orsomarso
0 : 1
Quindio
01 Oct
Envigado
0 : 0
Orsomarso
28 Sept
Independiente Valle del Cauca
4 : 3
Orsomarso
22 Sept
Real Santander
0 : 0
Orsomarso
14 Sept
Orsomarso
0 : 2
Atletico F.C.
Page 1 of 6

Real Cundinamarca

(Away)
02 Oct
Atletico F.C.
1 : 2
Real Cundinamarca
27 Sept
Barranquilla
0 : 1
Real Cundinamarca
21 Sept
Real Cundinamarca
3 : 1
Quindio
12 Sept
Real Cundinamarca
2 : 1
Union Magdalena
09 Sept
Real Cundinamarca
1 : 2
Inter Bogotá
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independiente Valle del Cauca 12 7 3 2 16:7 24
2 Real Cundinamarca 12 7 2 3 19:11 23
3 Tigres Futbol Club 12 6 4 2 14:5 22
4 Boca Juniors de Cali 11 5 3 3 18:14 18
5 Patriotas 11 5 2 4 17:17 17
6 Cartagena 12 4 4 4 21:16 16
7 Quindio 11 4 4 3 9:8 16
8 Atletico F.C. 12 4 3 5 15:19 15
9 Real Santander 12 3 6 3 14:18 15
10 Inter Palmira 11 4 2 5 8:12 14
11 Envigado 11 2 6 3 12:11 12
12 Union Magdalena 11 3 3 5 10:12 12
13 Bogota 11 3 3 5 9:13 12
14 Orsomarso 11 2 4 5 7:11 10
15 Leones 11 2 4 5 8:17 10
16 Barranquilla 11 2 3 6 11:17 9
Promotion - Primera B (Clausura - Quadrangular)