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Orsomarso vs Tigres Futbol Club - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Colombia Colombia

Primera B Estadio Daniel Villa Zapata, Barrancabermeja
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Palacios L.
47' Event
Mosquera K.
49'
Lasso M.

AI Match Summary

The Primera B game between Orsomarso and Tigres Futbol Club finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tigres Futbol Club.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Orsomarso
35%
Draws
53%
Tigres Futbol Club
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Tigres Futbol Club

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Tigres Futbol Club carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 53% — that's where the model lands on Tigres Futbol Club taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 20%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.8%
Orsomarso Clean Sheet 18%
Tigres Futbol Club Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Orsomarso Tigres Futbol Club
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 5 11
Draws 12 8
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 0.75 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.11 0.83
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 10, 2026 Primera B
Orsomarso vs Tigres Futbol Club
0:2
Feb 4, 2026 Primera B
Tigres Futbol Club vs Orsomarso
0:1
Aug 2, 2025 Primera B
Tigres Futbol Club vs Orsomarso
2:0
Feb 22, 2025 Primera B
Orsomarso vs Tigres Futbol Club
1:1
Aug 12, 2024 Primera B
Orsomarso vs Tigres Futbol Club
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Orsomarso Compare

Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25

Tigres Futbol Club Compare

Top Goalscorer Palacios L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mosquera K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Orsomarso 23 / 100
Tigres Futbol Club 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Orsomarso Tigres Futbol Club

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tigres Futbol Club Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tigres Futbol Club has conceded goals in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Orsomarso scored in 50% of their last 28 outings.

Orsomarso has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Orsomarso VS Tigres Futbol Club
0.75 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.25
63% Over 1.5 50%
13% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Orsomarso

(Home)
06 Oct
Orsomarso
0 : 1
Quindio
01 Oct
Envigado
0 : 0
Orsomarso
28 Sept
Independiente Valle del Cauca
4 : 3
Orsomarso
22 Sept
Real Santander
0 : 0
Orsomarso
14 Sept
Orsomarso
0 : 2
Atletico F.C.
Page 1 of 6

Tigres Futbol Club

(Away)
08 Oct
Independiente Valle del Cauca
1 : 1
Tigres Futbol Club
04 Oct
Tigres Futbol Club
1 : 0
Inter Palmira
26 Sept
Tigres Futbol Club
1 : 1
Real Santander
22 Sept
Atletico F.C.
0 : 3
Tigres Futbol Club
14 Sept
Tigres Futbol Club
0 : 0
Bogota
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independiente Valle del Cauca 12 7 3 2 16:7 24
2 Real Cundinamarca 12 7 2 3 19:11 23
3 Tigres Futbol Club 12 6 4 2 14:5 22
4 Boca Juniors de Cali 11 5 3 3 18:14 18
5 Patriotas 11 5 2 4 17:17 17
6 Cartagena 12 4 4 4 21:16 16
7 Quindio 11 4 4 3 9:8 16
8 Atletico F.C. 12 4 3 5 15:19 15
9 Real Santander 12 3 6 3 14:18 15
10 Inter Palmira 11 4 2 5 8:12 14
11 Envigado 11 2 6 3 12:11 12
12 Union Magdalena 11 3 3 5 10:12 12
13 Bogota 11 3 3 5 9:13 12
14 Orsomarso 11 2 4 5 7:11 10
15 Leones 11 2 4 5 8:17 10
16 Barranquilla 11 2 3 6 11:17 9
Promotion - Primera B (Clausura - Quadrangular)