Sport Picks
Orsomarso W vs Fortaleza W
Colombia
Liga Women Estadio Municipal Raul Miranda, Yumbo (COL) 
Match Events
34'
34'
Bohorquez S.
43'
43'
Garzon K.
46'
46'
Sub
Bedoya I. In: Asprilla F.
Out: Bedoya I.
AI Match Summary
The Liga Women game between Orsomarso W and Fortaleza W finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
8%
30%
62%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Fortaleza W
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
62%
/ High Confidence
- Orsomarso W carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Fortaleza W a 62% chance of winning this.
- Regular Liga Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 72.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Orsomarso W Clean Sheet 19%
Fortaleza W Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Orsomarso W | Fortaleza W |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 30 |
| Wins | 10 | 6 |
| Draws | 12 | 9 |
| Losses | 10 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.09 | 0.83 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.97 | 1.77 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.46 | 1.27 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 29, 2026 Liga Women
Orsomarso W vs Fortaleza W
1:1
Mar 9, 2025 Liga Women
Orsomarso W vs Fortaleza W
2:0
Feb 21, 2022 Liga Women
Fortaleza W vs Orsomarso W
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Orsomarso W Compare
Top Goalscorer Asprilla F.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.12
Avg xA / game 0.73
Fortaleza W Compare
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.71
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Orsomarso W 20 / 100
Fortaleza W 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Orsomarso W Fortaleza W
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Fortaleza W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Orsomarso W scored in 66% of their last 32 outings.
Fortaleza W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.
Games between these two average 1.33 goals.
Recent resilience: Orsomarso W stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Orsomarso W VS Fortaleza W
1.5 Goals Scored 1.29
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.43
88% Over 1.5 57%
50% Over 2.5 57%
13% Over 3.5 14%
Recent Form & Match History
Orsomarso W
(Home) 12 Sept
Orsomarso W
1 : 2 Indep. Santa Fe W
09 Sept
America de Cali W
3 : 1 Orsomarso W
04 Sept
Dep. Cali W
1 : 0 Orsomarso W
01 Sept
Orsomarso W
0 : 0 Dep. Cali W
29 Aug
Orsomarso W
0 : 2 America de Cali W
Page 1 of 7
12 Sept
Orsomarso W
1 : 2 Indep. Santa Fe W
01 Sept
Orsomarso W
0 : 0 Dep. Cali W
29 Aug
Orsomarso W
0 : 2 America de Cali W
20 Aug
Orsomarso W
3 : 0 Dep. Pasto W
29 May
Orsomarso W
5 : 1 Junior W
Page 1 of 4
Fortaleza W
(Away) 20 Aug
Indep. Santa Fe W
4 : 4 Fortaleza W
31 Jul
Fortaleza W
1 : 0 Ind. Medellin W
27 Jul
Inter Bogotá W
1 : 0 Fortaleza W
29 May
Fortaleza W
2 : 1 Bucaramanga W
24 May
Junior W
0 : 0 Fortaleza W
Page 1 of 6
20 Aug
Indep. Santa Fe W
4 : 4 Fortaleza W
27 Jul
Inter Bogotá W
1 : 0 Fortaleza W
24 May
Junior W
0 : 0 Fortaleza W
10 May
Dep. Pasto W
1 : 2 Fortaleza W
23 Apr
Inter Palmira W
3 : 1 Fortaleza W
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atl. Nacional W | 16 | 13 | 0 | 3 | 34:9 | 39 |
| 2 | Dep. Cali W | 16 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 33:10 | 38 |
| 3 | Millonarios W | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 32:8 | 35 |
| 4 | America de Cali W | 16 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 29:8 | 35 |
| 5 | Inter Bogotá W | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 22:14 | 29 |
| 6 | Indep. Santa Fe W | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 27:15 | 26 |
| 7 | Inter Palmira W | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 15:17 | 26 |
| 8 | Orsomarso W | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 18:14 | 22 |
| 9 | Ind. Medellin W | 16 | 6 | 1 | 9 | 21:22 | 19 |
| 10 | Fortaleza W | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 14:23 | 17 |
| 11 | Bucaramanga W | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 15:34 | 17 |
| 12 | Llaneros W | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 11:33 | 13 |
| 13 | Junior W | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 12:24 | 12 |
| 14 | Real Santander W | 16 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 4:22 | 10 |
| 15 | Once Caldas W | 16 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 7:25 | 8 |
| 16 | Dep. Pasto W | 16 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 12:28 | 7 |
Promotion - Liga Women (Promotion Group)
