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Stadium Background

Orzel Przeworsk vs Jaroslaw

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group VIII
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group VIII game between Orzel Przeworsk and Jaroslaw finished 0-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Jaroslaw.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Orzel Przeworsk
39%
Draws
31%
Jaroslaw
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Orzel Przeworsk haven't matched Jaroslaw's recent run of results.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular III Liga - Group VIII form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Jaroslaw have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Orzel Przeworsk Clean Sheet 13%
Jaroslaw Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Orzel Przeworsk Jaroslaw
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 3 17
Draws 3 6
Losses 24 6
Goals Scored 2.25 1.38
Goals Conceded 2 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 30, 2025 Club Friendly
Jaroslaw vs Orzel Przeworsk
1:0
May 28, 2016 III Liga - Group VIII
Orzel Przeworsk vs Jaroslaw
0:4
Oct 31, 2015 III Liga - Group VIII
Jaroslaw vs Orzel Przeworsk
0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Orzel Przeworsk 30 / 100
Jaroslaw 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Orzel Przeworsk Jaroslaw

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ORZ Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Jaroslaw conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.67 goals per match.

Orzel Przeworsk went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Orzel Przeworsk scored in 47% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Orzel Przeworsk VS Jaroslaw
2.25 Goals Scored 1.38
2 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 50%
75% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Motor Lublin34245580:2377
2S. Rzeszow34235680:3374
3R. Rzeszow34198750:2565
4Orleta Radzyn34188859:4262
5KS Karpaty Krosno341710763:3361
6Avia Swidnik341771069:4158
7Jaroslaw34169951:2957
8Polonia Przemysl341661240:4054
9Lublinianka341391237:3548
10Chelmianka Chelm341381357:5247
11Piast Tuczempy341281434:4144
12Sokol Sieniawa341281454:5744
13Wolczanka Wolka Pelkinska341191437:4242
14Tomasovia Tomaszow Lubelski341071740:5737
15Lewart Lubartow341071742:5437
16Izolator Boguchwala34852142:7429
17Hetman Zamosc34322916:10811
18Orzel Przeworsk34232923:889