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Os Marialvas vs Oliveira Hospital - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Milagres J.
23' Event
Teixeira Ribeiro E. F.
32' Event
Gabriel Amaral

AI Match Summary

Oliveira Hospital in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group C matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Oliveira Hospital.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Os Marialvas
15%
Draws
47%
Oliveira Hospital
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Oliveira Hospital

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Oliveira Hospital have won more games recently than Os Marialvas.
  • Win probability leans Os Marialvas's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group C form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Oliveira Hospital have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Os Marialvas Clean Sheet 68%
Oliveira Hospital Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Os Marialvas Oliveira Hospital
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 14 18
Draws 7 8
Losses 9 6
Goals Scored 1.3 1.5
Goals Conceded 0.8 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 23, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Os Marialvas vs Oliveira Hospital
1:2
Mar 1, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Oliveira Hospital vs Os Marialvas
1:1
Oct 26, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Os Marialvas vs Oliveira Hospital
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Os Marialvas Compare

Top Goalscorer Milagres J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Oliveira Hospital Compare

Top Goalscorer Teixeira Ribeiro E. F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gabriel Amaral
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Os Marialvas 86 / 100
Oliveira Hospital 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Os Marialvas Oliveira Hospital

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Os Marialvas Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Os Marialvas scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Os Marialvas has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Defensive concern: Oliveira Hospital conceded in 47% of 32 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Os Marialvas VS Oliveira Hospital
1.63 Goals Scored 1.25
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Os Marialvas

(Home)
20 Sept
UD Ovarense
0 : 1
Os Marialvas
13 Sept
GD Os Nazarenos
0 : 3
Os Marialvas
06 Sept
Os Marialvas
3 : 0
Fatima
30 Aug
Fornos de Algodres
0 : 4
Os Marialvas
23 Aug
Os Marialvas
1 : 2
Oliveira Hospital
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Oliveira Hospital

(Away)
20 Sept
Oliveira Hospital
3 : 2
Juv. Evora
13 Sept
Fatima
0 : 1
Oliveira Hospital
06 Sept
Oliveira Hospital
1 : 0
Naval 1893
30 Aug
Oliveira Hospital
1 : 0
GD Sourense
23 Aug
Os Marialvas
1 : 2
Oliveira Hospital
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mortagua FC 4 3 1 0 9:4 10
2 O Elvas CAD 4 3 1 0 6:2 10
3 Oliveira Hospital 4 3 0 1 6:4 9
4 Os Marialvas 4 3 0 1 8:2 9
5 Uniao Da Serra 4 2 2 0 6:4 8
6 Naval 1893 4 2 0 2 6:4 6
7 Nogueirense 4 1 3 0 8:7 6
8 SB Castelo Branco 4 2 0 2 7:9 6
9 Fatima 4 1 1 2 6:5 4
10 Malveira 4 1 1 2 4:7 4
11 Alverca B 4 1 0 3 6:4 3
12 Sertanense 4 0 2 2 3:7 2
13 Fazendense 4 0 1 3 5:12 1
14 GD Os Nazarenos 4 0 0 4 1:10 0
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Campeonato de Portugal - Relegation Group 2026/2027 (Main)