Sport Picks
Os Marialvas vs Sertanense
Portugal
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2024/2025 
Match Events
AI Match Summary
The Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2024/2025 game between Os Marialvas and Sertanense finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Os Marialvas.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Os Marialvas carry the better recent record into this one.
- Os Marialvas are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Os Marialvas | Sertanense |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 29 |
| Wins | 14 | 5 |
| Draws | 8 | 11 |
| Losses | 10 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.25 | 0.83 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.81 | 1.17 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.04 | 0.49 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Os Marialvas Compare
Sertanense Compare
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Sertanense conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.
Os Marialvas's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 32 recent games.
Games between these two average 2.50 goals.
Solid form: Os Marialvas remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Os Marialvas
(Home)Sertanense
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | O Elvas CAD | 26 | 20 | 5 | 1 | 41:10 | 65 |
| 2 | Fatima | 26 | 14 | 7 | 5 | 30:12 | 49 |
| 3 | Arronches Benfica | 26 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 27:17 | 48 |
| 4 | GD Peniche | 26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 31:23 | 39 |
| 5 | Os Marialvas | 26 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 30:28 | 37 |
| 6 | Mortagua FC | 26 | 8 | 13 | 5 | 23:21 | 37 |
| 7 | Marinhense | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 24:21 | 36 |
| 8 | Alverca B | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 28:25 | 35 |
| 9 | SB Castelo Branco | 26 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 23:21 | 34 |
| 10 | SC Pombal | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 29:34 | 32 |
| 11 | Uniao de Coimbra | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 26:44 | 25 |
| 12 | Sertanense | 26 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 23:33 | 21 |
| 13 | Alcains | 26 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 17:36 | 18 |
| 14 | Pero Pinheiro | 26 | 2 | 6 | 18 | 12:39 | 12 |
