Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Os Sandinenses vs CDC Montalegre

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

51' Event
Ribeiro P.
60' Event
Neiva G.
68' Event
Totas

AI Match Summary

Os Sandinenses in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Os Sandinenses.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Os Sandinenses
35%
Draws
30%
CDC Montalegre
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Os Sandinenses average 1.25 goals a game right now, well clear of CDC Montalegre's 0.97.
  • Os Sandinenses are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 49%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Os Sandinenses Clean Sheet 68%
CDC Montalegre Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Os Sandinenses CDC Montalegre
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 9 9
Draws 7 12
Losses 16 9
Goals Scored 1.25 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.72 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 0.96 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 7, 2024 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Os Sandinenses vs CDC Montalegre
4:0
Dec 17, 2023 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
CDC Montalegre vs Os Sandinenses
4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Os Sandinenses Compare

Top Goalscorer Ribeiro P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Neiva G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.48

CDC Montalegre Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Os Sandinenses 59 / 100
CDC Montalegre 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Os Sandinenses CDC Montalegre

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Os Sandinenses Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Os Sandinenses's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

CDC Montalegre let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Os Sandinenses has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Os Sandinenses VS CDC Montalegre
1.13 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 0.8
38% Over 1.5 60%
38% Over 2.5 20%
25% Over 3.5 20%

Recent Form & Match History

Os Sandinenses

(Home)
13 Apr
Os Sandinenses
3 : 4
Tirsense
06 Apr
Pevidem
2 : 0
Os Sandinenses
29 Mar
Os Sandinenses
3 : 1
SC Vianense
16 Mar
SC Vila Real
1 : 2
Os Sandinenses
08 Mar
Os Sandinenses
0 : 0
GD Joane
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CDC Montalegre

(Away)
13 Sept
CDC Montalegre
1 : 1
Maia Lidador
05 Sept
Braga B
2 : 2
CDC Montalegre
30 Aug
CDC Montalegre
0 : 1
Ponte da Barca
23 Aug
CDC Montalegre
2 : 0
Brito
16 Aug
Celoricense
0 : 0
CDC Montalegre
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AD Limianos 26 12 9 5 35:27 45
2 Pevidem 26 11 11 4 31:22 44
3 Tirsense 26 12 7 7 37:24 43
4 Camacha 26 11 5 10 36:30 38
5 Brito 26 10 8 8 26:26 38
6 Dumiense 26 9 8 9 30:32 35
7 Os Sandinenses 26 8 11 7 31:31 35
8 SC Vila Real 26 8 11 7 24:22 35
9 Maritimo B 26 10 5 11 34:26 35
10 CDC Montalegre 26 8 10 8 25:31 34
11 Vilar de Perdizes 26 7 10 9 29:32 31
12 CD Portosantense 26 6 9 11 22:27 27
13 SC Mirandela 26 6 6 14 25:37 24
14 Ribeirao 26 5 8 13 19:37 20
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Promotion Group 2023/2024 (Main)