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OS TF vs Varegg

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 3
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Vindenes R.
52' Event
Rottingen K.
72' Event
Vindenes R.

AI Match Summary

The Division 3 - Group 3 game between OS TF and Varegg finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward OS TF.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
OS TF
15%
Draws
21%
Varegg
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: OS TF

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • OS TF carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives OS TF a 64% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Division 3 - Group 3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Varegg here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38.8%
OS TF Clean Sheet 68%
Varegg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric OS TF Varegg
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 19 6
Draws 2 5
Losses 8 18
Goals Scored 3.1 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.93 2.38
Expected Goals (xG) 2.94 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 26, 2026 Division 3 - Group 3
OS TF vs Varegg
4:0
Aug 26, 2017 Division 3 - Group 4
Varegg vs OS TF
2:1
May 13, 2017 Division 3 - Group 4
OS TF vs Varegg
0:2
Oct 8, 2016 Division 3 - Group 7
Varegg vs OS TF
3:1
Jun 15, 2016 Division 3 - Group 7
OS TF vs Varegg
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

OS TF Compare

Top Goalscorer Vindenes R.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Rottingen K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.26
Avg xA / game 1.47

Varegg Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

OS TF 95 / 100
Varegg 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
OS TF Varegg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick OS TF Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 4:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

OS TF found the back of the net in 93% of recent matches (29 games).

Varegg let in goals in 90% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: OS TF stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

OS TF VS Varegg
3.88 Goals Scored 1.63
1 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

OS TF

(Home)
12 Sept
Fana
3 : 2
OS TF
05 Sept
OS TF
2 : 0
Forde
30 Aug
V. Haugesund
1 : 2
OS TF
22 Aug
OS TF
2 : 0
Lysekloster
17 Aug
Brann 2
1 : 3
OS TF
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Varegg

(Away)
12 Sept
Varegg
2 : 0
Sogndal 2
05 Sept
Austevoll
2 : 2
Varegg
30 Aug
Varegg
1 : 2
Djerv 1919
18 Aug
Sogndal 2
3 : 1
Varegg
15 Aug
Varegg
1 : 3
Askoy
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