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Osasuna vs Ath Bilbao - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

LaLiga Estadio El Sadar, Pamplona
Sat, Nov 7, 2026
VS
05:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Osasuna host Ath Bilbao in the LaLiga. Little to choose between these two on current form. Osasuna have averaged 1.14 scored and 1.68 conceded recently, against Ath Bilbao's 1.85 scored and 1.22 conceded. Head-to-head, Osasuna have won 2 to Ath Bilbao's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on Apr 21, 2026, ending 1:0. Model xG sits at 0.75 vs 1.81, favoring Ath Bilbao. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 0-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Osasuna
30%
Draws
47%
Ath Bilbao
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ath Bilbao

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ath Bilbao lately — more wins on the board than Osasuna.
  • Model gives Ath Bilbao a 47% chance of winning this.
  • Regular LaLiga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Osasuna Clean Sheet 11%
Ath Bilbao Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Osasuna Ath Bilbao
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 8 11
Draws 6 5
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 1.14 1.85
Goals Conceded 1.68 1.22
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 21, 2026 LaLiga
Ath Bilbao vs Osasuna
1:0
Jan 3, 2026 LaLiga
Osasuna vs Ath Bilbao
1:1
Sep 4, 2025 Club Friendly
Ath Bilbao vs Osasuna
0:1
Mar 30, 2025 LaLiga
Ath Bilbao vs Osasuna
0:0
Jan 16, 2025 Copa del Rey
Ath Bilbao vs Osasuna
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Osasuna 27 / 100
Ath Bilbao 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Osasuna Ath Bilbao

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ath Bilbao Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Osasuna found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (28 games).

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Ath Bilbao's defensive record shows goals conceded in 56% of 27 matches.

Osasuna has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Osasuna VS Ath Bilbao
1 Goals Scored 1.25
2.38 Goals Conceded 0.5
88% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Osasuna

(Home)
26 Oct
Sevilla
2 : 0
Osasuna
18 Oct
Osasuna
2 : 0
Racing Santander
11 Oct
Betis
5 : 2
Osasuna
19 Sept
Osasuna
1 : 1
Rayo Vallecano
16 Sept
Atl. Madrid
4 : 0
Osasuna
Page 1 of 6

Ath Bilbao

(Away)
25 Oct
Ath Bilbao
4 : 0
Getafe
21 Oct
Levante
3 : 1
Ath Bilbao
17 Oct
Valencia
0 : 0
Ath Bilbao
02 Oct
Real Sociedad
0 : 1
Ath Bilbao
19 Sept
Ath Bilbao
0 : 0
Alaves
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Barcelona 10 9 0 1 40:11 27
2 Atl. Madrid 10 8 1 1 20:8 25
3 Real Madrid 10 8 0 2 25:10 24
4 Betis 10 6 2 2 16:14 20
5 Real Sociedad 10 6 1 3 19:18 19
6 Sevilla 10 5 2 3 16:16 17
7 Alaves 10 3 3 4 14:11 12
8 Ath Bilbao 9 3 3 3 12:9 12
9 Celta Vigo 10 2 6 2 10:7 12
10 Villarreal 10 3 3 4 15:14 12
11 Dep. A Coruna 10 2 5 3 13:13 11
12 Osasuna 10 3 2 5 10:20 11
13 Racing Santander 10 3 2 5 15:26 11
14 Levante 10 2 4 4 16:19 10
15 Elche 10 2 4 4 14:17 10
16 Rayo Vallecano 9 2 3 4 12:20 9
17 Getafe 10 2 3 5 5:15 9
18 Espanyol 10 2 2 6 12:14 8
19 Valencia 10 1 3 6 7:17 6
20 Malaga 10 0 5 5 7:19 5
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - LaLiga2 2027/2028 (Main)