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Osasuna vs Racing Santander

World World

Club Friendly 2025 Stadium Gal, Irun
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Yurrieta Incera I.
46'
Sub
Ramos Alvarez R. In: Franco S.
Out: Ramos Alvarez R.
46'
Sub
Yurrieta Incera I. In: Diaz D.
Out: Yurrieta Incera I.

AI Match Summary

Racing Santander in this Club Friendly 2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Racing Santander.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Osasuna
15%
Draws
42%
Racing Santander
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Osasuna

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Racing Santander have won more games recently than Osasuna.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Osasuna Clean Sheet 13%
Racing Santander Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Osasuna Racing Santander
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 11 14
Draws 7 4
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 1.39 1.93
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 24, 2026 Club Friendly
Osasuna vs Racing Santander
2:0
Aug 2, 2025 Club Friendly
Osasuna vs Racing Santander
0:1
Mar 7, 2015 LaLiga2
Racing Santander vs Osasuna
2:0
Oct 4, 2014 LaLiga2
Osasuna vs Racing Santander
0:2
May 13, 2012 LaLiga
Racing Santander vs Osasuna
2:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Osasuna Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Racing Santander Compare

Top Goalscorer Yurrieta Incera I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Osasuna 31 / 100
Racing Santander 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Osasuna Racing Santander

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Racing Santander let in goals in 93% of their last 29 matches.

Osasuna's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Racing Santander has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Osasuna VS Racing Santander
0.88 Goals Scored 1.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Osasuna

(Home)
16 Sept
Atl. Madrid
4 : 0
Osasuna
12 Sept
Osasuna
0 : 2
Espanyol
06 Sept
Alaves
5 : 2
Osasuna
31 Aug
Osasuna
1 : 0
Getafe
27 Aug
Celta Vigo
1 : 2
Osasuna
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Racing Santander

(Away)
16 Sept
Barcelona
7 : 2
Racing Santander
12 Sept
Racing Santander
2 : 1
Alaves
05 Sept
Rayo Vallecano
3 : 2
Racing Santander
28 Aug
Racing Santander
3 : 2
Elche
23 Aug
Getafe
1 : 0
Racing Santander
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