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Osijek vs Din. Zagreb - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Croatia Croatia

HNL Opus Arena, Osijek
Osijek Logo

Osijek

4 - 2
FT
Din. Zagreb Logo

Din. Zagreb

Our Tip

Match Events

2'
Bukvic D.
12' Event
Leon A.
Assist: Bukvic D.
22'
Stojkovic L.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Osijek in this HNL matchup, with the score ending 4-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Osijek.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Osijek
30%
Draws
47%
Din. Zagreb
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Din. Zagreb

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Din. Zagreb lately — more wins on the board than Osijek.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Din. Zagreb taking it.
  • Regular HNL form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Din. Zagreb here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Osijek Clean Sheet 10%
Din. Zagreb Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Osijek Din. Zagreb
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 12 21
Draws 6 6
Losses 11 3
Goals Scored 1.17 2.7
Goals Conceded 1.38 0.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 HNL
Osijek vs Din. Zagreb
4:2
Apr 4, 2026 HNL
Din. Zagreb vs Osijek
7:0
Jan 25, 2026 HNL
Osijek vs Din. Zagreb
0:3
Oct 18, 2025 HNL
Din. Zagreb vs Osijek
2:1
Aug 2, 2025 HNL
Osijek vs Din. Zagreb
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Osijek Compare

Top Goalscorer Leon A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Vrbancic L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Din. Zagreb Compare

Top Goalscorer Zajc M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Osijek 10 / 100
Din. Zagreb 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Osijek Din. Zagreb

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Din. Zagreb Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.20 goals.

Attacking prowess: Osijek scored in 62% of their last 29 outings.

Osijek went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Din. Zagreb conceded in 50% of 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Osijek VS Din. Zagreb
1.5 Goals Scored 2.13
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Osijek

(Home)
17 Oct
Osijek
1 : 1
HNK Gorica
10 Oct
Osijek
1 : 3
Istra 1961
03 Oct
Osijek
1 : 1
Bijelo Brdo
19 Sept
Varazdin
0 : 0
Osijek
12 Sept
Osijek
4 : 2
Din. Zagreb
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Din. Zagreb

(Away)
18 Oct
Slaven Belupo
1 : 5
Din. Zagreb
15 Oct
Din. Zagreb
1 : 0
Anderlecht
10 Oct
Hajduk Split
2 : 1
Din. Zagreb
04 Oct
Vukovar 1991
0 : 4
Din. Zagreb
20 Sept
Din. Zagreb
3 : 2
Lok. Zagreb
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hajduk Split 10 7 1 2 19:9 22
2 Din. Zagreb 9 6 1 2 23:12 19
3 Varazdin 10 5 3 2 14:8 18
4 Osijek 10 5 2 3 19:15 17
5 Rijeka 9 5 2 2 16:12 17
6 Istra 1961 10 3 3 4 17:16 12
7 Lok. Zagreb 10 3 1 6 13:17 10
8 Slaven Belupo 10 3 1 6 12:22 10
9 Rudes 10 2 1 7 13:27 7
10 HNK Gorica 10 1 3 6 7:15 6
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Prva NL 2027/2028 (Main)