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Osijek vs Hajduk Split - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Croatia Croatia

HNL Opus Arena, Osijek
Sat, Nov 7, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Osijek host Hajduk Split in the HNL. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Hajduk Split have shipped 1.11 goals a game lately, while Osijek have conceded 1.34 and scored 1.21. Past meetings favor Hajduk Split slightly — 1-4-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 23, 2026, ending 4:0. The numbers (1.00 xG vs 2.31) point toward Hajduk Split. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Osijek
20%
Draws
56%
Hajduk Split
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Hajduk Split

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Osijek haven't matched Hajduk Split's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Hajduk Split have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.8%
Osijek Clean Sheet 10%
Hajduk Split Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Osijek Hajduk Split
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 13 17
Draws 5 5
Losses 11 6
Goals Scored 1.21 2.04
Goals Conceded 1.34 1.11
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 23, 2026 HNL
Hajduk Split vs Osijek
4:0
Apr 21, 2026 HNL
Hajduk Split vs Osijek
0:1
Feb 15, 2026 HNL
Osijek vs Hajduk Split
0:2
Nov 8, 2025 HNL
Hajduk Split vs Osijek
2:0
Aug 24, 2025 HNL
Osijek vs Hajduk Split
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Osijek 34 / 100
Hajduk Split 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Osijek Hajduk Split

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hajduk Split Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Osijek's goal record stands at 62% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Osijek went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Hajduk Split conceded in 57% of 28 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Osijek VS Hajduk Split
1.38 Goals Scored 2.5
2.13 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Osijek

(Home)
10 Oct
Osijek
1 : 3
Istra 1961
03 Oct
Osijek
1 : 1
Bijelo Brdo
19 Sept
Varazdin
0 : 0
Osijek
12 Sept
Osijek
4 : 2
Din. Zagreb
09 Sept
Segesta
3 : 1
Osijek
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Hajduk Split

(Away)
10 Oct
Hajduk Split
2 : 1
Din. Zagreb
20 Sept
Rijeka
3 : 0
Hajduk Split
13 Sept
Hajduk Split
1 : 0
Slaven Belupo
08 Sept
Vardarac Vardaroc
0 : 2
Hajduk Split
06 Sept
Rudes
0 : 4
Hajduk Split
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hajduk Split 9 6 1 2 18:9 19
2 Varazdin 9 5 3 1 14:7 18
3 Din. Zagreb 8 5 1 2 18:11 16
4 Osijek 9 5 1 3 18:14 16
5 Rijeka 8 4 2 2 14:11 14
6 Istra 1961 9 3 3 3 17:14 12
7 Slaven Belupo 9 3 1 5 11:17 10
8 Lok. Zagreb 9 2 1 6 11:17 7
9 Rudes 9 2 1 6 12:25 7
10 HNK Gorica 9 1 2 6 6:14 5
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Prva NL 2027/2028 (Main)