Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Osipovichi vs Orsha

Belarus Belarus

Pershaya Liga Yunost Stadium, Osipovichi
Our Tip

Match Events

29'
Minets T.
46'
Sub
Berezun I. In: Komarov Y.
Out: Berezun I.
51' Event
Lomako S.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Pershaya Liga game between Osipovichi and Orsha finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Osipovichi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Osipovichi
20%
Draws
40%
Orsha
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Orsha come out ahead of Osipovichi on wins alone.
  • Osipovichi are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Osipovichi Clean Sheet 16%
Orsha Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Osipovichi Orsha
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 7 10
Draws 3 5
Losses 20 16
Goals Scored 1.1 1.29
Goals Conceded 2.4 1.81
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 20, 2026 Pershaya Liga
Osipovichi vs Orsha
2:1
Aug 30, 2025 Pershaya Liga
Orsha vs Osipovichi
2:2
Apr 27, 2025 Pershaya Liga
Osipovichi vs Orsha
4:2
Oct 15, 2023 Pershaya Liga
Orsha vs Osipovichi
3:0
Jun 11, 2023 Pershaya Liga
Osipovichi vs Orsha
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Osipovichi Compare

Top Goalscorer Zimin A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Orsha Compare

Top Goalscorer Bobchenok N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Osipovichi 36 / 100
Orsha 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Osipovichi Orsha

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Orsha conceded in 84% of 31 recent games.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Osipovichi found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Difficult form: Orsha registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Osipovichi VS Orsha
0.88 Goals Scored 1.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Osipovichi

(Home)
19 Sept
FC Minsk 2
1 : 1
Osipovichi
13 Sept
Soligorsk
2 : 1
Osipovichi
05 Sept
Osipovichi
1 : 2
FK Lida
30 Aug
Niva Dolbizno
6 : 0
Osipovichi
22 Aug
Osipovichi
1 : 0
SKA-1938 Minsk
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Orsha

(Away)
19 Sept
Orsha
0 : 3
Slutsk
11 Sept
Din. Minsk 2
0 : 0
Orsha
06 Sept
Orsha
2 : 3
Ostrovets
30 Aug
FC Slonim
1 : 2
Orsha
26 Aug
Orsha
1 : 4
Din. Minsk 2
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Niva Dolbizno 25 16 3 6 63:31 51
2 Slutsk 25 15 6 4 48:24 51
3 FK Lida 25 15 3 7 47:42 48
4 SKA-1938 Minsk 25 14 5 6 48:30 47
5 FC Slonim 25 13 4 8 46:30 43
6 Molodechno 24 13 3 8 41:34 42
7 BumProm Gomel 25 11 4 10 47:37 37
8 Din. Minsk 2 25 10 5 10 42:37 35
9 Volna Pinsk 25 10 4 11 40:44 34
10 Soligorsk 24 9 6 9 46:43 33
11 Ostrovets 24 8 9 7 33:34 33
12 Smorgon 25 8 6 11 30:34 30
13 FC Minsk 2 25 9 3 13 36:46 30
14 Orsha 25 7 5 13 27:46 26
15 Uni X Labs 25 6 7 12 24:34 25
16 BATE 2 24 5 6 13 34:55 21
17 FC Gomel 2 25 5 6 14 33:48 21
18 Osipovichi 25 5 3 17 26:62 18
Promotion - Vysshaya Liga 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Vysshaya Liga (Relegation)