Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Osipovichi vs Slavia Mozyr

Belarus Belarus

Belarusian Cup 2025/2026 Yunost Stadium, Osipovichi
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Ratskevich P.
Own Goal
33' Event
Ivanov N.
46'
Sachkovskiy M.

AI Match Summary

Slavia Mozyr in this Belarusian Cup 2025/2026 tie, finishing 1-5. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Osipovichi
28%
Draws
50%
Slavia Mozyr
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Slavia Mozyr

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Slavia Mozyr have won more games recently than Osipovichi.
  • Win probability leans Slavia Mozyr's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Slavia Mozyr arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Slavia Mozyr, who have won 3 of the last 4 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Slavia Mozyr have won 4 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Osipovichi Clean Sheet 10%
Slavia Mozyr Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Osipovichi Slavia Mozyr
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 6 12
Draws 2 7
Losses 20 10
Goals Scored 1 1.75
Goals Conceded 3.38 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.38 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 12, 2025 Belarusian Cup
Osipovichi vs Slavia Mozyr
1:5
Jun 13, 2018 Belarusian Cup
Osipovichi vs Slavia Mozyr
2:3
Aug 5, 1999 Vysshaya Liga
Osipovichi vs Slavia Mozyr
2:3
Apr 23, 1999 Vysshaya Liga
Slavia Mozyr vs Osipovichi
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Osipovichi Compare

Top Goalscorer Denisenko D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Slavia Mozyr Compare

Top Goalscorer Ivanov N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kukharchik I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Osipovichi 22 / 100
Slavia Mozyr 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Osipovichi Slavia Mozyr

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SLA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.75 goals per match.

Osipovichi's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Slavia Mozyr has conceded goals in 62% of their last 29 outings.

Recent resilience: Osipovichi stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Osipovichi VS Slavia Mozyr
1 Goals Scored 1.75
3.38 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Osipovichi

(Home)
24 Jul
Osipovichi
3 : 1
BATE 2
18 Jul
Osipovichi
1 : 3
Dnepr Mogilev
11 Jul
Uni X Labs
1 : 0
Osipovichi
05 Jul
Osipovichi
1 : 5
Molodechno
27 Jun
FC Gomel 2
5 : 2
Osipovichi
Page 1 of 6

Slavia Mozyr

(Away)
26 Jul
Slavia Mozyr
2 : 1
Dynamo Brest
19 Jul
Volna Pinsk
0 : 5
Slavia Mozyr
11 Jul
Dynamo Brest
4 : 1
Slavia Mozyr
01 Jul
Slavia Mozyr
2 : 4
ML Vitebsk
26 Jun
FK Baranovici
1 : 1
Slavia Mozyr
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Stanles Pinsk0
Volna Pinsk3
TBD-
FC Minsk-
Drut Belynichi0
Orsha2
TBD-
Dynamo Brest-
Polotsk0
FK Baranovici5
TBD-
ML Vitebsk-
Svisloch1
FC Slonim4
TBD-
Neman-
Gazovik Vitebsk0
Ostrovets6
TBD-
Slutsk-
FK Miory0
Niva Dolbizno4
TBD-
Isloch Minsk-
Mozyrskiy NPZ0
Lokomotiv Gomel3
TBD-
Din. Minsk-
Dnepr Mogilev-
TBD-
TBD-
Vitebsk-
Krechet0
Osipovichi4
TBD-
Slavia Mozyr-
Technolog Mogilev0
DMedia6
TBD-
FC Gomel-
FK Inform0
FK Lida6
TBD-
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk-
Belshina-
TBD-
TBD-
Molodechno-
Nadezhda Baranovici0
Uni X Labs2
TBD-
Smorgon-
Neman Mosty0
BumProm Gomel4
TBD-
Zhodino-
Bobovnya1
Krumkachy2
TBD-
Naftan-
Agro Pelishche0
SKA-1938 Minsk2
TBD-
BATE-
1/16-finals
Volna Pinsk2
FC Minsk3
Orsha1
Dynamo Brest8
FK Baranovici1
ML Vitebsk2
FC Slonim1
Neman0
Ostrovets0
Slutsk3
Niva Dolbizno0
Isloch Minsk4
Lokomotiv Gomel1
Din. Minsk2
Dnepr Mogilev0
Vitebsk1
Osipovichi1
Slavia Mozyr5
DMedia0
FC Gomel2
FK Lida0
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk1
Belshina0
Molodechno3
Uni X Labs0
Smorgon2
BumProm Gomel0
Zhodino2
Krumkachy1
Naftan2
SKA-1938 Minsk0
BATE1
1/8-finals
FC Minsk2
Dynamo Brest3
ML Vitebsk8
FC Slonim1
Slutsk1
Isloch Minsk2
Din. Minsk2
Vitebsk1
Slavia Mozyr1
FC Gomel0
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk1
Molodechno0
Smorgon0
Zhodino4
Naftan3
BATE4
Quarter-finals
Dynamo Brest0
ML Vitebsk4
Isloch Minsk1
Din. Minsk2
Slavia Mozyr4
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk0
Zhodino1
BATE2
Semi-finals
ML Vitebsk0
Din. Minsk3
Slavia Mozyr0
BATE3
Final
Din. Minsk1
BATE2