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Oskarshamn vs Vaxjo Norra Prediction & H2H Stats

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Södra Götaland Arena Oskarshamn, Oskarshamn
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Match Events

85' Event
Mucolli D.
90' Event
Alnator T.

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 - Södra Götaland game between Oskarshamn and Vaxjo Norra finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Oskarshamn.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Oskarshamn
30%
Draws
35%
Vaxjo Norra
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Oskarshamn carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Oskarshamn a 35% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Division 2 - Södra Götaland form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Oskarshamn Clean Sheet 17%
Vaxjo Norra Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Oskarshamn Vaxjo Norra
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 15 12
Draws 5 8
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 2.31 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.34 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 2.56 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 17, 2026 Division 2 - Södra Götaland
Oskarshamn vs Vaxjo Norra
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Oskarshamn Compare

Top Goalscorer Mucolli D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Alnator T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.97
Avg xA / game 1.28

Vaxjo Norra Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Oskarshamn 66 / 100
Vaxjo Norra 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Oskarshamn Vaxjo Norra

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Oskarshamn Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Oskarshamn scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Vaxjo Norra conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Oskarshamn remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Oskarshamn VS Vaxjo Norra
3.13 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Oskarshamn

(Home)
03 Oct
Torns
0 : 2
Oskarshamn
26 Sept
Oskarshamn
3 : 4
IFK Trelleborg
19 Sept
Karlskrona
2 : 0
Oskarshamn
12 Sept
Oskarshamn
7 : 1
Rappe GOIF
05 Sept
Oskarshamn
1 : 2
Nosaby IF
Page 1 of 6

Vaxjo Norra

(Away)
03 Oct
Vaxjo Norra
0 : 2
IFK Karlshamn
25 Sept
Rappe GOIF
1 : 1
Vaxjo Norra
20 Sept
Vaxjo Norra
0 : 0
Nosaby IF
12 Sept
Vaxjo Norra
1 : 1
Lilla Torg
05 Sept
Torns
1 : 3
Vaxjo Norra
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Karlskrona 23 18 3 2 61:20 57
2 IFK Trelleborg 23 14 5 4 49:23 47
3 Oskarshamn 24 14 3 7 60:30 45
4 Nosaby IF 24 11 6 7 45:39 39
5 Linero IF 23 12 2 9 44:39 38
6 IFK Berga 23 11 4 8 49:36 37
7 Vaxjo Norra 24 9 8 7 31:33 35
8 Osterlen FF 23 8 6 9 37:38 30
9 Lilla Torg 24 6 10 8 33:41 28
10 Solvesborgs 24 9 1 14 35:46 28
11 Staffanstorp United 24 6 8 10 37:41 26
12 Torns 24 7 0 17 31:66 21
13 Rappe GOIF 23 4 6 13 25:51 18
14 IFK Karlshamn 24 4 2 18 26:60 14
Promotion - Division 2 - Norra Götaland (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Södra Götaland (Relegation)