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Osogovo vs Kozuf Gevgelija - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

North Macedonia North Macedonia

2. MFL
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The 2. MFL game between Osogovo and Kozuf Gevgelija finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kozuf Gevgelija.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Osogovo
35%
Draws
46%
Kozuf Gevgelija
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Kozuf Gevgelija

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Kozuf Gevgelija carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
Osogovo Clean Sheet 20%
Kozuf Gevgelija Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Osogovo Kozuf Gevgelija
Matches Played 27 27
Wins 10 11
Draws 7 4
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 1.41 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.22 1.19
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 2. MFL
Osogovo vs Kozuf Gevgelija
0:1
May 2, 2026 2. MFL
Osogovo vs Kozuf Gevgelija
0:1
Nov 8, 2025 2. MFL
Kozuf Gevgelija vs Osogovo
0:0
Mar 1, 2025 2. MFL
Osogovo vs Kozuf Gevgelija
0:0
Sep 1, 2024 2. MFL
Kozuf Gevgelija vs Osogovo
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Osogovo 36 / 100
Kozuf Gevgelija 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Osogovo Kozuf Gevgelija

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kozuf Gevgelija Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Osogovo scored in 67% of their last 27 outings.

Kozuf Gevgelija's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 27 matches.

H2H data points to 1.40 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Osogovo stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Osogovo VS Kozuf Gevgelija
0.5 Goals Scored 0.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.75
50% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Osogovo

(Home)
10 Oct
Osogovo
1 : 1
Gorno Lisice
19 Sept
Teteks
0 : 0
Osogovo
13 Sept
Osogovo
0 : 1
Kozuf Gevgelija
09 Sept
Osogovo
1 : 3
Belasica Strumica
05 Sept
Detonit Plackovica
2 : 1
Osogovo
Page 1 of 6

Kozuf Gevgelija

(Away)
10 Oct
Detonit Plackovica
1 : 1
Kozuf Gevgelija
19 Sept
Kozuf Gevgelija
0 : 1
Novaci
13 Sept
Osogovo
0 : 1
Kozuf Gevgelija
09 Sept
Kozuf Gevgelija
0 : 1
FK Skopje
05 Sept
Kozuf Gevgelija
2 : 2
Belasica Strumica
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ohrid 7 5 1 1 16:6 16
2 Pelister 7 4 3 0 9:1 15
3 Rabotnicki 6 5 0 1 11:3 15
4 Brera Strumica 6 4 2 0 14:3 14
5 Belasica Strumica 7 2 5 0 7:5 11
6 Makedonija GP 7 3 1 3 4:4 10
7 Kamjani 7 3 1 3 7:10 10
8 Teteks 7 2 3 2 10:9 9
9 Detonit Plackovica 7 2 2 3 7:9 8
10 Kozuf Gevgelija 7 2 2 3 7:12 8
11 Novaci 7 2 1 4 6:9 7
12 Gorno Lisice 7 1 2 4 6:7 5
13 Osogovo 7 0 3 4 3:7 3
14 Shkupi 7 0 0 7 1:23 0
Promotion - 1. MFL 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - 1. MFL (Relegation)