Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Osorno vs Concon National

Chile Chile

Segunda Division Estadio Municipal Rubén Marcos Peralta, Osorno
Sun, Aug 9, 2026
VS
08:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Osorno host Concon National in the Segunda Division. Chances could be at a premium in this fixture. Recent numbers: Osorno at 0.75 goals for, 0.38 against; Concon National at 1.25 for, 0.75 against. Head-to-head, Osorno have won 1 to Concon National's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on Aug 23, 2025, ending 2:2. xG projections (0.75 - 0.81) back Osorno to edge this. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Osorno
44%
Draws
20%
Concon National
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Concon National at 1.25 per game, Osorno at 0.75.
  • 44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Segunda Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Osorno Clean Sheet 20%
Concon National Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Osorno Concon National
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 13
Draws 11 6
Losses 5 10
Goals Scored 0.75 1.25
Goals Conceded 0.38 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.38 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 23, 2025 Segunda Division
Concon National vs Osorno
2:2
Apr 5, 2025 Segunda Division
Osorno vs Concon National
1:3
Aug 16, 2024 Segunda Division
Concon National vs Osorno
3:3
Apr 6, 2024 Segunda Division
Osorno vs Concon National
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Osorno 36 / 100
Concon National 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Osorno Concon National

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CON Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.25 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Osorno stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Osorno's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Concon National's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Osorno VS Concon National
0.75 Goals Scored 1.25
0.38 Goals Conceded 0.75
25% Over 1.5 50%
13% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Osorno

(Home)
12 Jul
Lota Schwager
2 : 2
Osorno
04 Jul
Osorno
3 : 0
General Velasquez
21 Jun
Colchagua CD
0 : 0
Osorno
06 Jun
Osorno
1 : 1
Linares Unido
30 May
S. Morning
0 : 0
Osorno
Page 1 of 6

Concon National

(Away)
11 Jul
Concon National
4 : 2
Santiago City
05 Jul
Brujas Salamanca
1 : 0
Concon National
27 Jun
Concon National
1 : 1
Atletico Colina
07 Jun
Real San Joaquin
0 : 1
Concon National
30 May
Concon National
1 : 0
Provincial Ovalle
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Osorno00000:00
2Linares Unido00000:00
3Colchagua CD00000:00
4Brujas Salamanca00000:00
5Santiago City00000:00
6Concon National00000:00
Promotion - Liga de Ascenso 2027 (Main)