Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Osorno vs Concon National

Chile Chile

Segunda Division Estadio Municipal Rubén Marcos Peralta, Osorno
Our Tip

Match Events

6'
Cerda A.
23' Event
Bielkiewicz D.
25'
Gutierrez J.

AI Match Summary

Osorno in this Segunda Division matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Osorno.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Osorno
15%
Draws
59%
Concon National
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Concon National

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Osorno haven't matched Concon National's recent run of results.
  • 59% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Segunda Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Osorno Clean Sheet 19%
Concon National Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Osorno Concon National
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 10 13
Draws 11 4
Losses 6 11
Goals Scored 1.48 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 Segunda Division
Osorno vs Concon National
1:0
Aug 23, 2025 Segunda Division
Concon National vs Osorno
2:2
Apr 5, 2025 Segunda Division
Osorno vs Concon National
1:3
Aug 16, 2024 Segunda Division
Concon National vs Osorno
3:3
Apr 6, 2024 Segunda Division
Osorno vs Concon National
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Osorno Compare

Top Goalscorer Bielkiewicz D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Concon National Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Osorno 36 / 100
Concon National 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Osorno Concon National

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Concon National Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Osorno scored in 81% of their last 27 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Concon National's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 28 matches.

Recent resilience: Osorno stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Osorno VS Concon National
1.25 Goals Scored 1.5
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Osorno

(Home)
13 Sept
Osorno
1 : 2
Santiago City
06 Sept
Brujas Salamanca
2 : 1
Osorno
29 Aug
Osorno
2 : 2
Trasandino
16 Aug
Linares Unido
1 : 0
Osorno
08 Aug
Osorno
1 : 0
Concon National
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Concon National

(Away)
13 Sept
Concon National
1 : 0
Colchagua CD
05 Sept
Santiago City
3 : 0
Concon National
29 Aug
Concon National
3 : 1
Linares Unido
22 Aug
Brujas Salamanca
0 : 2
Concon National
16 Aug
Concon National
1 : 3
Trasandino
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Santiago City 6 4 2 0 9:3 14
2 Linares Unido 5 3 1 1 6:5 10
3 Trasandino 6 2 3 1 10:6 9
4 Concon National 6 3 0 3 7:8 9
5 Brujas Salamanca 5 2 0 3 3:7 6
6 Osorno 5 1 1 3 5:7 4
7 Colchagua CD 5 0 1 4 0:4 1
Promotion - Liga de Ascenso 2027 (Main)