Sport Picks
Osorno vs Lota Schwager
Chile
Segunda Division Estadio Municipal Rubén Marcos Peralta, Osorno 
Match Events
33'
33'
Povea L.
52'
52'
Sub
Namoncura S. In: Sanguinetti F.
Out: Namoncura S.
52'
52'
Sub
Soto C. In: Castro G.
Out: Soto C.
AI Match Summary
Osorno in this Segunda Division matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Osorno.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
30%
39%
31%
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
65%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Osorno lately — more wins on the board than Lota Schwager.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Osorno Clean Sheet 20%
Lota Schwager Clean Sheet 17%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Osorno | Lota Schwager |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 13 | 8 |
| Draws | 11 | 9 |
| Losses | 7 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 0.75 | 0.63 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.38 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.75 | 0.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.38 | 1.00 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 12, 2026 Segunda Division
Lota Schwager vs Osorno
2:2
May 9, 2026 Segunda Division
Osorno vs Lota Schwager
1:0
Aug 7, 2010 Liga de Ascenso
Osorno vs Lota Schwager
0:2
Jun 20, 2010 Liga de Ascenso
Lota Schwager vs Osorno
2:0
Apr 4, 2010 Liga de Ascenso
Osorno vs Lota Schwager
2:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Osorno Compare
Top Goalscorer Meneses L.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38
Lota Schwager Compare
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Osorno 31 / 100
Lota Schwager 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Osorno Lota Schwager
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick OSO Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Recent resilience: Osorno stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.
Attacking prowess: Osorno scored in 74% of their last 31 outings.
Defensive concern: Lota Schwager conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.
Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.
Scoring Trends
Osorno VS Lota Schwager
0.75 Goals Scored 0.63
0.38 Goals Conceded 1
25% Over 1.5 50%
13% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Osorno
(Home) 12 Jul
Lota Schwager
2 : 2 Osorno
04 Jul
Osorno
3 : 0 General Velasquez
21 Jun
Colchagua CD
0 : 0 Osorno
06 Jun
Osorno
1 : 1 Linares Unido
30 May
S. Morning
0 : 0 Osorno
Page 1 of 7
04 Jul
Osorno
3 : 0 General Velasquez
06 Jun
Osorno
1 : 1 Linares Unido
23 May
Osorno
0 : 0 Deportes Rengo
09 May
Osorno
1 : 0 Lota Schwager
18 Apr
Osorno
2 : 2 Colchagua CD
Page 1 of 4
Lota Schwager
(Away) 12 Jul
Lota Schwager
2 : 2 Osorno
05 Jul
Colchagua CD
0 : 2 Lota Schwager
28 Jun
General Velasquez
2 : 1 Lota Schwager
21 Jun
Lota Schwager
1 : 1 S. Morning
14 Jun
Linares Unido
0 : 1 Lota Schwager
Page 1 of 6
05 Jul
Colchagua CD
0 : 2 Lota Schwager
28 Jun
General Velasquez
2 : 1 Lota Schwager
14 Jun
Linares Unido
0 : 1 Lota Schwager
06 Jun
Deportes Rengo
1 : 1 Lota Schwager
09 May
Osorno
1 : 0 Lota Schwager
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brujas Salamanca | 12 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 11:5 | 22 |
| 2 | Concon National | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 16:10 | 21 |
| 3 | Santiago City | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 18:19 | 20 |
| 4 | Trasandino | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 19:17 | 18 |
| 5 | Real San Joaquin | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 16:17 | 13 |
| 6 | Atletico Colina | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 15:14 | 12 |
| 7 | Provincial Ovalle | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 11:24 | 6 |
Promotion - Segunda Division (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Segunda Division (Qualification - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda Division (Relegation Group)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Osorno | 12 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 15:5 | 24 |
| 2 | Colchagua CD | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 15:11 | 22 |
| 3 | Linares Unido | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 16:12 | 19 |
| 4 | General Velasquez | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 11:15 | 16 |
| 5 | Lota Schwager | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 11:13 | 13 |
| 6 | Deportes Rengo | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 10:17 | 11 |
| 7 | S. Morning | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 9:14 | 10 |
Promotion - Segunda Division (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Segunda Division (Qualification - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda Division (Relegation Group)