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Ospitaletto vs AlbinoLeffe

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 Stadio Comunale Gino Corioni, Ospitaletto
Our Tip

Match Events

35'
Parlati S.
51'
Guarneri M.
55' Event
Nessi R.

AI Match Summary

Ospitaletto in this Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ospitaletto.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Ospitaletto
11%
Draws
80%
AlbinoLeffe
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: AlbinoLeffe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • AlbinoLeffe have won more games recently than Ospitaletto.
  • AlbinoLeffe are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Ospitaletto Clean Sheet 18%
AlbinoLeffe Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ospitaletto AlbinoLeffe
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 8 12
Draws 12 8
Losses 8 8
Goals Scored 1.13 1.88
Goals Conceded 0.75 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Ospitaletto vs AlbinoLeffe
3:0
Dec 8, 2025 Serie C - Group A
AlbinoLeffe vs Ospitaletto
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ospitaletto Compare

Top Goalscorer Nessi R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Guarneri M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

AlbinoLeffe Compare

Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ospitaletto 12 / 100
AlbinoLeffe 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ospitaletto AlbinoLeffe

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ALB Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Ospitaletto scored in 61% of their last 28 outings.

Defensive concern: AlbinoLeffe conceded in 64% of 28 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Ospitaletto went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ospitaletto VS AlbinoLeffe
1.13 Goals Scored 1.88
0.75 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ospitaletto

(Home)
25 Jul
Padova
1 : 3
Ospitaletto
25 Apr
Ospitaletto
0 : 2
Novara
19 Apr
Pro Vercelli
1 : 0
Ospitaletto
12 Apr
Ospitaletto
3 : 0
AlbinoLeffe
06 Apr
Virtus Verona
0 : 0
Ospitaletto
Page 1 of 6

AlbinoLeffe

(Away)
29 Jul
Arezzo
1 : 3
AlbinoLeffe
25 Jul
Pavia
0 : 4
AlbinoLeffe
25 Apr
Alcione Milano
2 : 1
AlbinoLeffe
19 Apr
AlbinoLeffe
3 : 0
Triestina
12 Apr
Ospitaletto
3 : 0
AlbinoLeffe
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vicenza38278369:2689
2Union Brescia381912749:2469
3Renate381713853:3764
4Lecco3818101047:3464
5Trento381615758:4263
6Cittadella381781345:4359
7Lumezzane3814141046:3956
8Alcione Milano3815101335:2855
9Arzignano381581550:4853
10Giana Erminio3814101438:3952
11AlbinoLeffe3813111451:4950
12Inter U233812121440:4148
13Novara38920940:3947
14Pro Vercelli381371839:5546
15Ospitaletto3810151341:4345
16Pergolettese3810111737:5041
17Dolomiti Bellunesi3810101838:6140
18Virtus Verona383161934:6225
19Pro Patria384112334:7023
20Triestina38992045:5912
Promotion - Serie B (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)