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Ossese vs US Venafro - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group G
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Munguia D.
23' Event
Fancellu R.
25'
Fruscella D.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie D - Group G matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Ossese
30%
Draws
41%
US Venafro
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: US Venafro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ossese lately — more wins on the board than US Venafro.
  • Ossese are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Ossese Clean Sheet 68%
US Venafro Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ossese US Venafro
Matches Played 9 8
Wins 3 2
Draws 3 2
Losses 3 4
Goals Scored 1.33 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.22 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 11, 2026 Serie D - Group G
Ossese vs US Venafro
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ossese Compare

Top Goalscorer Fancellu R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

US Venafro Compare

Top Goalscorer Munguia D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ossese 77 / 100
US Venafro 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ossese US Venafro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ossese Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ossese found the back of the net in 89% of recent matches (9 games).

US Venafro let in goals in 75% of their last 8 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Ossese stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ossese VS US Venafro
1.38 Goals Scored 0.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ossese

(Home)
18 Oct
Gelbison
2 : 1
Ossese
11 Oct
Ossese
1 : 1
US Venafro
04 Oct
Afragolese
0 : 2
Ossese
27 Sept
Ossese
2 : 2
Sarnese
20 Sept
Unipomezia
2 : 0
Ossese
Page 1 of 2

US Venafro

(Away)
18 Oct
US Venafro
1 : 0
Paganese
11 Oct
Ossese
1 : 1
US Venafro
04 Oct
Gelbison
0 : 1
US Venafro
27 Sept
US Venafro
2 : 3
Budoni Calcio
20 Sept
Afragolese
4 : 0
US Venafro
Page 1 of 2

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sarnese 8 6 2 0 13:6 20
2 Monastir 8 5 1 2 21:13 16
3 Certosa V. Campagnano 8 5 1 2 13:6 16
4 Trastevere Calcio 8 4 2 2 11:14 14
5 Paganese 8 4 1 3 17:10 13
6 Unipomezia 8 3 3 2 14:10 12
7 Ossese 8 3 3 2 11:8 12
8 Albalonga 8 3 3 2 13:11 12
9 Aranova 8 3 3 2 12:10 12
10 Anzio Calcio 1924 8 3 3 2 8:6 12
11 Afragolese 8 2 4 2 9:7 10
12 Citta di Anagni 8 3 1 4 10:12 10
13 Gelbison 8 3 1 4 10:13 10
14 US Venafro 8 2 2 4 6:11 8
15 Budoni Calcio 8 2 1 5 12:20 7
16 Sarrabus Ogliastra 8 1 3 4 7:11 6
17 Latte Dolce 8 1 3 4 9:14 6
18 Atl. Lodigiani 8 0 1 7 8:22 1
Promotion - Serie D - Group G (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group G (Play Out)