Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Oster vs Norrkoping

Sweden Sweden

Superettan Spiris Arena, Växjö
Sat, Sep 19, 2026
VS
11:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Oster host Norrkoping in the Superettan. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Norrkoping have shipped 0.93 goals a game lately, while Oster have conceded 1.48 and scored 1.62. Past meetings favor Norrkoping slightly — 0-4-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 25, 2026, ending 2:0. Model xG sits at 1.06 vs 1.75, favoring Norrkoping. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Oster
20%
Draws
52%
Norrkoping
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Norrkoping

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Norrkoping carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Norrkoping's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Norrkoping have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Oster Clean Sheet 12%
Norrkoping Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Oster Norrkoping
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 13 18
Draws 3 4
Losses 13 6
Goals Scored 1.62 1.89
Goals Conceded 1.48 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 25, 2026 Superettan
Norrkoping vs Oster
2:0
Mar 14, 2026 Club Friendly
Oster vs Norrkoping
1:3
Aug 25, 2025 Allsvenskan
Oster vs Norrkoping
1:2
Mar 30, 2025 Allsvenskan
Norrkoping vs Oster
4:3
Feb 19, 2022 Svenska Cupen
Norrkoping vs Oster
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Oster 22 / 100
Norrkoping 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Oster Norrkoping

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Norrkoping Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Oster scored in 86% of their last 29 games.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Oster went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Norrkoping conceded in 57% of 28 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Oster VS Norrkoping
1.38 Goals Scored 2.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Oster

(Home)
10 Sept
Falkenberg
2 : 1
Oster
04 Sept
Oster
1 : 2
Nordic United
30 Aug
Sandviken
1 : 1
Oster
25 Aug
Oster
1 : 0
Sundsvall
19 Aug
Hogaborgs
0 : 4
Oster
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Norrkoping

(Away)
10 Sept
Varberg
0 : 2
Norrkoping
04 Sept
Norrkoping
2 : 2
Ljungskile
29 Aug
Nordic United
1 : 3
Norrkoping
24 Aug
Norrkoping
2 : 1
Falkenberg
20 Aug
Vasalund
1 : 2
Norrkoping
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Norrkoping 23 16 3 4 45:15 51
2 Falkenberg 23 12 5 6 44:33 41
3 Ostersund 23 10 9 4 32:24 39
4 Varberg 23 11 5 7 39:30 38
5 Oddevold 23 9 8 6 37:32 35
6 Nordic United 23 9 8 6 36:35 35
7 Landskrona 23 9 7 7 31:25 34
8 Sandviken 23 9 6 8 38:30 33
9 Oster 23 10 3 10 34:34 33
10 Helsingborg 23 8 5 10 36:44 29
11 Varnamo 23 7 5 11 30:41 26
12 Ljungskile 23 6 7 10 29:33 25
13 Norrby 23 4 11 8 27:33 23
14 Orebro 23 5 8 10 24:34 23
15 Brage 23 5 7 11 36:44 22
16 Sundsvall 23 5 1 17 16:47 16
Promotion - Allsvenskan 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation - Division 1 - Norra (Promotion)