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Stadium Background

Oster vs Norrkoping - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Sweden Sweden

Superettan Spiris Arena, Växjö
Our Tip

Match Events

19'
Olsson F.
29' Event
Jemal E.
39' Event
Nelson R.
Assist: Jemal E.

AI Match Summary

The Superettan game between Oster and Norrkoping finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Norrkoping.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Oster
20%
Draws
52%
Norrkoping
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Norrkoping

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Norrkoping carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Norrkoping's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Norrkoping have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Oster Clean Sheet 10%
Norrkoping Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Oster Norrkoping
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 15 19
Draws 2 6
Losses 13 4
Goals Scored 1.8 1.86
Goals Conceded 1.57 0.66
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Superettan
Oster vs Norrkoping
1:3
May 25, 2026 Superettan
Norrkoping vs Oster
2:0
Mar 14, 2026 Club Friendly
Oster vs Norrkoping
1:3
Aug 25, 2025 Allsvenskan
Oster vs Norrkoping
1:2
Mar 30, 2025 Allsvenskan
Norrkoping vs Oster
4:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Oster Compare

Top Goalscorer Tamminen M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Norrkoping Compare

Top Goalscorer Jemal E.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Nelson R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Oster 10 / 100
Norrkoping 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Oster Norrkoping

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Norrkoping Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Oster scored in 87% of their last 30 games.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Norrkoping let in goals in 48% of their last 29 matches.

Solid form: Oster remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Oster VS Norrkoping
1.25 Goals Scored 2
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Oster

(Home)
24 Oct
Brage
4 : 5
Oster
17 Oct
Oster
3 : 1
Oddevold
10 Oct
Norrby
2 : 0
Oster
03 Oct
Halmstad
3 : 2
Oster
19 Sept
Oster
1 : 3
Norrkoping
Page 1 of 6

Norrkoping

(Away)
25 Oct
Norrby
0 : 4
Norrkoping
20 Oct
Norrkoping
2 : 2
Orebro
13 Oct
Norrkoping
4 : 0
Sundsvall
06 Oct
Norrkoping
0 : 0
Kalmar
19 Sept
Oster
1 : 3
Norrkoping
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Norrkoping 28 19 5 4 58:18 62
2 Falkenberg 28 15 6 7 52:38 51
3 Ostersund 28 12 12 4 38:26 48
4 Varberg 28 13 8 7 46:35 47
5 Landskrona 28 12 8 8 46:33 44
6 Oddevold 28 11 9 8 48:37 42
7 Oster 28 13 3 12 46:45 42
8 Sandviken 28 11 8 9 46:36 41
9 Nordic United 28 10 9 9 41:47 39
10 Helsingborg 28 8 8 12 37:48 32
11 Varnamo 28 9 5 14 35:48 32
12 Ljungskile 28 7 9 12 35:40 30
13 Orebro 28 6 11 11 31:42 29
14 Norrby 28 5 12 11 31:41 27
15 Brage 28 6 8 14 45:55 26
16 Sundsvall 28 6 1 21 19:65 19
Promotion - Allsvenskan 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation - Division 1 - Norra (Promotion)