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Osterlen FF vs Karlskrona

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Södra Götaland
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Osterlen FF play Karlskrona in the Division 2 - Södra Götaland. It looks like a close match. Recently, Osterlen FF averaged 1.61 goals scored and 1.64 conceded. Karlskrona averaged 1.89 goals scored and 1.44 conceded. In past meetings, Osterlen FF won 1, Karlskrona won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jun 27, 2026 ended 0:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.38 for Osterlen FF and 1.13 for Karlskrona. This points to a Karlskrona double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Osterlen FF
17%
Draws
47%
Karlskrona
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Karlskrona

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / Medium Confidence
  • Osterlen FF picked up more points recently compared to Karlskrona.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.38 vs 1.13 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 74%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 92%
Over 2.5 Goals 74%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 22%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62%
Osterlen FF Clean Sheet 21%
Karlskrona Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 83%
Second Half Goal 87%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Osterlen FF Karlskrona
Matches Played 33 36
Wins 14 19
Draws 4 7
Losses 15 10
Goals Scored 1.61 1.89
Goals Conceded 1.64 1.44
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 27, 2026 Division 2 - Södra Götaland
Osterlen FF vs Karlskrona
0:3
Apr 19, 2026 Division 2 - Södra Götaland
Karlskrona vs Osterlen FF
3:1
Sep 14, 2025 Division 2 - Södra Götaland
Karlskrona vs Osterlen FF
3:0
Jun 15, 2025 Division 2 - Södra Götaland
Osterlen FF vs Karlskrona
1:1
Oct 13, 2024 Division 2 - Södra Götaland
Karlskrona vs Osterlen FF
3:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Osterlen FF Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Karlskrona Compare

Top Goalscorer Andersson J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bengtsson L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Osterlen FF 37 / 100
Karlskrona 44 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Osterlen FF Karlskrona

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Karlskrona or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +28.5%
3.57
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.8%
1.47
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Osterlen FF attacking → ← attacking Karlskrona

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Osterlen FF scored in 79% of their last 33 games.

Karlskrona let in goals in 75% of their last 36 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Osterlen FF went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Karlskrona lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

46 Points in last 5 64
1.38 Goals expected (xG) 1.13
1.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.38

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Karlskrona1493228:1630
2Linero IF1481528:1925
3Oskarshamn1473427:1724
4IFK Trelleborg1365219:1123
5Vaxjo Norra1465320:1723
6IFK Berga1463527:1921
7Nosaby IF1355323:2120
8Osterlen FF1453618:2118
9Lilla Torg1446415:2018
10Staffanstorp United1445526:2617
11Solvesborgs1451822:2316
12Torns1450920:3715
13Rappe GOIF1433814:2512
14IFK Karlshamn14211114:297