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Osterlen FF vs Kristianstad

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Södra Götaland 2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Osterlen FF play Kristianstad in the Division 2 - Södra Götaland 2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Osterlen FF averaged 1.64 goals scored and 1.64 conceded. Kristianstad averaged 1.68 goals scored and 1.1 conceded. In past meetings, Osterlen FF won 2, Kristianstad won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Oct 19, 2025 ended 0:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.56 for Osterlen FF and 1.06 for Kristianstad. This points to a Kristianstad double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Osterlen FF
18%
Draws
45%
Kristianstad
Draw rate projection: 18% Favored: Kristianstad

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

72% / Medium Confidence
  • Osterlen FF picked up more points recently compared to Kristianstad.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.56 vs 1.06 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 70%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 87%
Over 2.5 Goals 70%
Over 3.5 Goals 42%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 59%
Osterlen FF Clean Sheet 22%
Kristianstad Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 78%
Second Half Goal 83%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Osterlen FF Kristianstad
Matches Played 33 31
Wins 14 16
Draws 4 7
Losses 15 8
Goals Scored 1.64 1.68
Goals Conceded 1.64 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 19, 2025 Division 2 - Södra Götaland
Osterlen FF vs Kristianstad
0:3
Apr 17, 2025 Division 2 - Södra Götaland
Kristianstad vs Osterlen FF
1:1
Sep 6, 2024 Division 2 - Södra Götaland
Kristianstad vs Osterlen FF
2:1
May 12, 2024 Division 2 - Södra Götaland
Osterlen FF vs Kristianstad
2:1
Aug 13, 2023 Division 2 - Södra Götaland
Osterlen FF vs Kristianstad
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Osterlen FF Compare

Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Kristianstad Compare

Top Goalscorer Lofquist D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lilja P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Osterlen FF 38 / 100
Kristianstad 43 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Osterlen FF Kristianstad

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Kristianstad or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +27.6%
3.45
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.2%
1.56
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Osterlen FF attacking → ← attacking Kristianstad

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Osterlen FF scored in 79% of their last 33 games.

Kristianstad let in goals in 61% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Osterlen FF went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Kristianstad lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

46 Points in last 5 55
1.50 Goals expected (xG) 0.88
1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.63

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Kristianstad26184447:2258
2Karlskrona26165559:2853
3IFK Trelleborg26137658:4146
4Solvesborgs26136754:4145
5Vaxjo Norra261151046:3238
6Rappe GOIF26910729:3237
7Torns261041230:4634
8Linero IF261031339:4533
9Nosaby IF26961141:4833
10IFK Karlshamn261021431:4332
11Osterlen FF26931441:4330
12Hogaborgs26841443:5328
13IFK Hassleholm26641636:5822
14Balkan26491334:5621