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Stadium Background

Ostersund vs Oster Prediction & H2H Stats

Sweden Sweden

Superettan Jamtkraft Arena, Ostersund
Our Tip

Match Events

45'
Varmanen T.
46'
Sub
Thellsson C. W. I. In: Jawla K.
Out: Thellsson C. W. I.
63'
Sub
Tamminen M. In: Soderberg N.
Out: Tamminen M.

AI Match Summary

Ostersund in this Superettan matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ostersund.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Ostersund
20%
Draws
22%
Oster
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ostersund

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Oster average 1.62 goals a game right now, well clear of Ostersund's 1.26.
  • Ostersund are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Ostersund Clean Sheet 20%
Oster Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ostersund Oster
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 13 13
Draws 11 3
Losses 7 13
Goals Scored 1.26 1.62
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 Superettan
Ostersund vs Oster
1:0
Apr 25, 2026 Superettan
Oster vs Ostersund
1:0
Aug 10, 2024 Superettan
Ostersund vs Oster
0:0
Jun 16, 2024 Superettan
Oster vs Ostersund
1:1
Nov 4, 2023 Superettan
Ostersund vs Oster
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ostersund Compare

Top Goalscorer Ozkan E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Oster Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ostersund 49 / 100
Oster 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ostersund Oster

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ostersund Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ostersund found the back of the net in 74% of recent matches (31 games).

Oster's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Ostersund stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Oster lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ostersund VS Oster
0.88 Goals Scored 1.88
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 88%
13% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Ostersund

(Home)
03 Oct
Rosenborg
2 : 0
Ostersund
18 Sept
Falkenberg
0 : 0
Ostersund
14 Sept
Ostersund
1 : 0
Helsingborg
10 Sept
Ostersund
1 : 1
Brage
07 Sept
Orebro
0 : 1
Ostersund
Page 1 of 7

Oster

(Away)
03 Oct
Halmstad
3 : 2
Oster
19 Sept
Oster
1 : 3
Norrkoping
15 Sept
Varnamo
1 : 3
Oster
10 Sept
Falkenberg
2 : 1
Oster
04 Sept
Oster
1 : 2
Nordic United
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Norrkoping 25 17 4 4 48:16 55
2 Falkenberg 25 13 6 6 46:33 45
3 Varberg 25 13 5 7 44:33 44
4 Ostersund 25 11 10 4 33:24 43
5 Landskrona 25 11 7 7 39:26 40
6 Sandviken 25 10 7 8 43:33 37
7 Oddevold 25 9 9 7 38:34 36
8 Oster 25 11 3 11 38:38 36
9 Nordic United 25 9 9 7 38:40 36
10 Helsingborg 25 8 6 11 36:45 30
11 Varnamo 25 8 5 12 33:45 29
12 Ljungskile 25 6 7 12 31:38 25
13 Norrby 25 4 12 9 28:35 24
14 Orebro 25 5 9 11 27:39 24
15 Brage 25 5 8 12 39:48 23
16 Sundsvall 25 6 1 18 19:53 19
Promotion - Allsvenskan 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation - Division 1 - Norra (Promotion)