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Ostiamare vs Pianese - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group B Stadio Pasquale Giannattasio, Rome
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
03:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ostiamare host Pianese in the Serie C - Group B. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: Ostiamare at 1.48 goals for, 1.24 against; Pianese at 1.03 for, 1 against. Head-to-head, Ostiamare have won 1 to Pianese's 2, with 2 draws. They last met on Apr 23, 2023, ending 0:3. Model xG sits at 1.25 vs 1.25, favoring Ostiamare. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 1-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Ostiamare
35%
Draws
32%
Pianese
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Pianese haven't matched Ostiamare's recent run of results.
  • 33% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Serie C - Group B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Ostiamare Clean Sheet 68%
Pianese Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ostiamare Pianese
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 8
Draws 6 13
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 1.48 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.24 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 23, 2023 Serie D - Group E
Pianese vs Ostiamare
0:3
Dec 11, 2022 Serie D - Group E
Ostiamare vs Pianese
0:1
Jun 13, 2021 Serie D - Group E
Ostiamare vs Pianese
2:2
Feb 7, 2021 Serie D - Group E
Pianese vs Ostiamare
1:0
May 4, 2014 Serie D - Group E
Ostiamare vs Pianese
3:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ostiamare 41 / 100
Pianese 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ostiamare Pianese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ostiamare Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ostiamare scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Pianese conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Ostiamare has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ostiamare VS Pianese
1 Goals Scored 0.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ostiamare

(Home)
04 Oct
Latina
1 : 1
Ostiamare
27 Sept
Ostiamare
1 : 1
Forli FC
20 Sept
Gubbio
0 : 2
Ostiamare
16 Sept
Ostiamare
0 : 1
Ravenna
13 Sept
Sassari Torres
3 : 2
Ostiamare
Page 1 of 6

Pianese

(Away)
04 Oct
Pianese
2 : 1
Ravenna
26 Sept
Livorno
3 : 2
Pianese
21 Sept
Pianese
1 : 1
Sambenedettese
16 Sept
Sassari Torres
2 : 1
Pianese
12 Sept
Pianese
0 : 0
Grosseto
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spezia 8 7 1 0 15:4 22
2 Ravenna 8 5 2 1 13:4 17
3 Grosseto 8 4 3 1 14:7 15
4 Reggiana 8 4 2 2 12:7 14
5 Livorno 8 4 2 2 10:9 14
6 Perugia 8 4 1 3 9:12 13
7 Guidonia 1937 8 3 3 2 10:7 12
8 Campobasso 8 3 3 2 12:11 12
9 Sassari Torres 8 3 3 2 9:9 12
10 Pescara 8 3 2 3 10:11 11
11 Forli FC 8 2 4 2 13:12 10
12 Atalanta U23 6 3 0 3 7:9 9
13 Ostiamare 8 2 2 4 9:10 8
14 Vado 8 2 2 4 6:8 8
15 Pineto 8 1 4 3 6:11 7
16 Gubbio 8 2 1 5 10:16 7
17 Latina 7 1 3 3 6:9 6
18 Pianese 8 1 3 4 6:10 6
19 Sambenedettese 8 1 2 5 11:14 5
20 Vis Pesaro 7 1 1 5 8:16 4
Promotion - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A (Play Out)