Sport Picks
Match Events
15'
15'
Gaetani D.
18'
18'
Kouko D.
30'
30'
Kouko D.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Serie D - Group E 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
54%
30%
16%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ostiamare
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
54%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Ostiamare lately — more wins on the board than Sangiovannese.
- Ostiamare are the model's pick here, at 70%.
- Regular Serie D - Group E 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Ostiamare Clean Sheet 68%
Sangiovannese Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ostiamare | Sangiovannese |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 14 | 7 |
| Draws | 6 | 9 |
| Losses | 10 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.47 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.27 | 1.17 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.69 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 23, 2025 Serie D - Group E
Ostiamare vs Sangiovannese
2:2
Oct 23, 2024 Serie D - Group E
Sangiovannese vs Ostiamare
2:1
Jan 8, 2023 Serie D - Group E
Ostiamare vs Sangiovannese
0:0
Sep 3, 2022 Serie D - Group E
Sangiovannese vs Ostiamare
3:1
Mar 21, 2021 Serie D - Group E
Sangiovannese vs Ostiamare
3:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Ostiamare Compare
Top Goalscorer Kouko D.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84
Sangiovannese Compare
Top Goalscorer Gaetani D.
1 Goals Assists Leader Nieri M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ostiamare 77 / 100
Sangiovannese 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ostiamare Sangiovannese
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Ostiamare Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Ostiamare scored in 73% of their last 30 games.
Sangiovannese let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.
These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.
Recent resilience: Ostiamare stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Ostiamare VS Sangiovannese
1.38 Goals Scored 1.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Ostiamare
(Home) 27 Sept
Ostiamare
1 : 1 Forli FC
20 Sept
Gubbio
0 : 2 Ostiamare
16 Sept
Ostiamare
0 : 1 Ravenna
13 Sept
Sassari Torres
3 : 2 Ostiamare
05 Sept
Vis Pesaro
1 : 2 Ostiamare
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Ostiamare
1 : 1 Forli FC
16 Sept
Ostiamare
0 : 1 Ravenna
29 Aug
Ostiamare
1 : 2 Grosseto
26 Jul
Ostiamare
0 : 2 Benevento
10 May
Ostiamare
0 : 2 Desenzano Calvina
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Sangiovannese
(Away) 26 Aug
Sangiovannese
3 : 3 Scandicci
09 Aug
Sangiovannese
0 : 1 San Donato Tavarnelle
04 May
Sangiovannese
0 : 1 Terranuova Traiana
27 Apr
Flaminia
1 : 0 Sangiovannese
17 Apr
Sangiovannese
2 : 2 Livorno
Page 1 of 6
27 Apr
Flaminia
1 : 0 Sangiovannese
12 Apr
Seravezza Pozzi
2 : 1 Sangiovannese
30 Mar
Ghiviborgo
4 : 2 Sangiovannese
09 Mar
Montevarchi
0 : 0 Sangiovannese
23 Feb
Ostiamare
2 : 2 Sangiovannese
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Livorno | 34 | 21 | 9 | 4 | 74:44 | 72 |
| 2 | Fulgens Foligno | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 61:44 | 60 |
| 3 | Seravezza Pozzi | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 53:39 | 59 |
| 4 | Ghiviborgo | 34 | 17 | 4 | 13 | 65:57 | 55 |
| 5 | Orvietana | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 44:41 | 53 |
| 6 | Siena | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 35:32 | 52 |
| 7 | Grosseto | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 39:34 | 50 |
| 8 | Ostiamare | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 49:53 | 45 |
| 9 | Poggibonsi | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 32:36 | 43 |
| 10 | San Donato Tavarnelle | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 26:26 | 43 |
| 11 | Montevarchi | 34 | 9 | 14 | 11 | 36:39 | 41 |
| 12 | Flaminia | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 42:43 | 40 |
| 13 | Follonica Gavorrano | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 40:45 | 40 |
| 14 | Terranuova Traiana | 34 | 8 | 15 | 11 | 34:47 | 39 |
| 15 | Figline | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 29:33 | 38 |
| 16 | Sporting Trestina | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 35:45 | 38 |
| 17 | Sangiovannese | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 30:38 | 36 |
| 18 | Fezzanese | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 35:63 | 26 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group E 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group E 2024/2025 (Play Out)
