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Ostrov vs Chomutov - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Czech Republic Czech Republic

4. liga - Group B
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ostrov in this 4. liga - Group B matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ostrov.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Ostrov
15%
Draws
48%
Chomutov
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Chomutov

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Chomutov lately — more wins on the board than Ostrov.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular 4. liga - Group B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Ostrov Clean Sheet 10%
Chomutov Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ostrov Chomutov
Matches Played 28 32
Wins 12 19
Draws 4 3
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1.71 2
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2026 4. liga - Group B
Ostrov vs Chomutov
2:1
May 30, 2026 4. liga - Group B
Ostrov vs Chomutov
1:0
Oct 31, 2025 4. liga - Group B
Chomutov vs Ostrov
1:1
Mar 1, 2025 Club Friendly
Chomutov vs Ostrov
5:1
Jun 12, 2024 4. liga - Group B
Ostrov vs Chomutov
3:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ostrov 30 / 100
Chomutov 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ostrov Chomutov

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ostrov scored in 93% of their last 28 games.

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

Chomutov let in goals in 72% of their last 32 matches.

Recent resilience: Ostrov stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ostrov VS Chomutov
1.75 Goals Scored 2.25
2.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 75%
88% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ostrov

(Home)
03 Oct
Ostrov
2 : 1
Chomutov
26 Sept
Sokolov
1 : 2
Ostrov
23 Sept
Ostrov
2 : 3
Brandys nad Labem
19 Sept
Ostrov
1 : 3
Psary
12 Sept
Vysehrad
2 : 2
Ostrov
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Chomutov

(Away)
03 Oct
Ostrov
2 : 1
Chomutov
25 Sept
Chomutov
1 : 0
Karlovy Vary
19 Sept
Hvezda Cheb
1 : 3
Chomutov
12 Sept
Chomutov
0 : 2
Slany
05 Sept
Steti
1 : 2
Chomutov
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