Sport Picks
Ostrovia Ostrow vs Jarocin Prediction & H2H Stats
Poland
III Liga - Group II 2015/2016 
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this III Liga - Group II 2015/2016 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
9%
15%
76%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Jarocin
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
76%
/ Very High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Jarocin lately — more wins on the board than Ostrovia Ostrow.
- Model gives Jarocin a 76% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Ostrovia Ostrow Clean Sheet 13%
Jarocin Clean Sheet 13%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ostrovia Ostrow | Jarocin |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 33 |
| Wins | 7 | 10 |
| Draws | 6 | 5 |
| Losses | 16 | 18 |
| Goals Scored | 1.21 | 1.33 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.83 | 2.12 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 27, 2024 Club Friendly
Jarocin vs Ostrovia Ostrow
6:0
Jul 25, 2018 Club Friendly
Jarocin vs Ostrovia Ostrow
3:0
Apr 16, 2016 III Liga - Group II
Ostrovia Ostrow vs Jarocin
2:2
Sep 19, 2015 III Liga - Group II
Jarocin vs Ostrovia Ostrow
1:0
Jun 8, 2014 Division 2 - West
Ostrovia Ostrow vs Jarocin
0:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ostrovia Ostrow 11 / 100
Jarocin 75 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ostrovia Ostrow Jarocin
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Jarocin Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Ostrovia Ostrow found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (29 games).
Jarocin has conceded goals in 79% of their last 33 outings.
These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.
Ostrovia Ostrow has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Ostrovia Ostrow VS Jarocin
0.75 Goals Scored 0.88
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Ostrovia Ostrow
(Home) 15 Feb
Ostrovia Ostrow
0 : 1 Nowe Skalmierzyce
27 Jul
Krotoszyn
3 : 3 Ostrovia Ostrow
27 Jul
Jarocin
6 : 0 Ostrovia Ostrow
25 Jul
Jarocin
3 : 0 Ostrovia Ostrow
04 Jun
Elana Torun
2 : 1 Ostrovia Ostrow
Page 1 of 6
15 Feb
Ostrovia Ostrow
0 : 1 Nowe Skalmierzyce
31 May
Ostrovia Ostrow
0 : 1 Lech Poznan II
14 May
Ostrovia Ostrow
0 : 4 Unia Swarzedz
03 May
Ostrovia Ostrow
2 : 0 Centra Ostrow Wielkopolski
23 Apr
Ostrovia Ostrow
4 : 0 Nielba Wagrowiec
Page 1 of 3
Jarocin
(Away) 27 Jul
Jarocin
6 : 0 Ostrovia Ostrow
24 Jul
Jarocin
0 : 8 Barycz Sulow
17 Jun
Jarocin
2 : 1 Starogard Gdanski
10 Jun
B. Gdynia
4 : 0 Jarocin
03 Jun
Jarocin
3 : 0 Unia Swarzedz
Page 1 of 7
10 Jun
B. Gdynia
4 : 0 Jarocin
27 May
Nowe Skalmierzyce
1 : 1 Jarocin
24 May
Blekitni Stargard
2 : 2 Jarocin
14 May
Kleczew
7 : 1 Jarocin
28 Apr
Swit Szczecin
5 : 0 Jarocin
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Warta Poznan | 30 | 18 | 8 | 4 | 57:24 | 62 |
| 2 | Pelikan Niechanowo | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 60:28 | 62 |
| 3 | Lech Poznan II | 30 | 17 | 9 | 4 | 69:23 | 60 |
| 4 | Kleczew | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 63:30 | 53 |
| 5 | Jarocin | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 47:27 | 51 |
| 6 | Polonia Sroda Wielkopol | 30 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 45:28 | 51 |
| 7 | Wda Swiecie | 30 | 14 | 7 | 9 | 37:37 | 49 |
| 8 | KKS Kalisz | 30 | 13 | 6 | 11 | 41:41 | 45 |
| 9 | Elana Torun | 30 | 13 | 5 | 12 | 51:41 | 44 |
| 10 | Unia Swarzedz | 30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 39:55 | 38 |
| 11 | Start Warlubie | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 40:45 | 35 |
| 12 | Centra Ostrow Wielkopolski | 30 | 9 | 4 | 17 | 39:67 | 31 |
| 13 | Ostrovia Ostrow | 30 | 8 | 5 | 17 | 36:48 | 29 |
| 14 | Nielba Wagrowiec | 30 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 32:68 | 23 |
| 15 | Sparta Brodnica | 30 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 26:55 | 22 |
| 16 | Kujawianka | 30 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 26:91 | 12 |
Promotion - III Liga - Group I 2015/2016 (Play Offs)
