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Ostrovia Ostrow vs Unia Swarzedz Prediction & H2H Stats

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group II 2015/2016
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group II 2015/2016 game between Ostrovia Ostrow and Unia Swarzedz finished 0-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Unia Swarzedz.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

10%
Ostrovia Ostrow
20%
Draws
70%
Unia Swarzedz
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Unia Swarzedz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Ostrovia Ostrow haven't matched Unia Swarzedz's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Unia Swarzedz a 70% chance of winning this.
  • Regular III Liga - Group II 2015/2016 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Ostrovia Ostrow Clean Sheet 10%
Unia Swarzedz Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ostrovia Ostrow Unia Swarzedz
Matches Played 32 42
Wins 8 21
Draws 6 7
Losses 18 14
Goals Scored 1.22 1.86
Goals Conceded 1.84 1.36
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 1.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 14, 2016 III Liga - Group II
Ostrovia Ostrow vs Unia Swarzedz
0:4
Oct 24, 2015 III Liga - Group II
Unia Swarzedz vs Ostrovia Ostrow
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ostrovia Ostrow 10 / 100
Unia Swarzedz 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ostrovia Ostrow Unia Swarzedz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Unia Swarzedz Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ostrovia Ostrow's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Unia Swarzedz's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 42 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Ostrovia Ostrow has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Unia Swarzedz
0 Goals Scored 2.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.88
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Ostrovia Ostrow

(Home)
15 Feb
Ostrovia Ostrow
0 : 1
Nowe Skalmierzyce
27 Jul
Krotoszyn
3 : 3
Ostrovia Ostrow
27 Jul
Jarocin
6 : 0
Ostrovia Ostrow
25 Jul
Jarocin
3 : 0
Ostrovia Ostrow
04 Jun
Elana Torun
2 : 1
Ostrovia Ostrow
Page 1 of 7

Unia Swarzedz

(Away)
03 Oct
Unia Swarzedz
7 : 0
Kotwica Kornik
26 Sept
Swinoujscie
0 : 2
Unia Swarzedz
19 Sept
Unia Swarzedz
1 : 3
Luzino
11 Sept
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
4 : 3
Unia Swarzedz
04 Sept
Unia Swarzedz
1 : 1
Lech Poznan II
Page 1 of 9

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Warta Poznan 30 18 8 4 57:24 62
2 Pelikan Niechanowo 30 19 5 6 60:28 62
3 Lech Poznan II 30 17 9 4 69:23 60
4 Kleczew 30 15 8 7 63:30 53
5 Jarocin 30 14 9 7 47:27 51
6 Polonia Sroda Wielkopol 30 15 6 9 45:28 51
7 Wda Swiecie 30 14 7 9 37:37 49
8 KKS Kalisz 30 13 6 11 41:41 45
9 Elana Torun 30 13 5 12 51:41 44
10 Unia Swarzedz 30 10 8 12 39:55 38
11 Start Warlubie 30 9 8 13 40:45 35
12 Centra Ostrow Wielkopolski 30 9 4 17 39:67 31
13 Ostrovia Ostrow 30 8 5 17 36:48 29
14 Nielba Wagrowiec 30 6 5 19 32:68 23
15 Sparta Brodnica 30 4 10 16 26:55 22
16 Kujawianka 30 3 3 24 26:91 12
Promotion - III Liga - Group I 2015/2016 (Play Offs)