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Ostrovia Ostrow W vs Trojka Staszkowka W

Poland Poland

Polish Cup Women 2023/2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ostrovia Ostrow W play Trojka Staszkowka W in the Polish Cup Women 2023/2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Ostrovia Ostrow W averaged 3.53 goals scored and 2.33 conceded. Trojka Staszkowka W averaged 3.27 goals scored and 4.07 conceded. In past meetings, Ostrovia Ostrow W won 1, Trojka Staszkowka W won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Nov 8, 2023 ended 8:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 4.00 for Ostrovia Ostrow W and 2.25 for Trojka Staszkowka W. This points to a Ostrovia Ostrow W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Ostrovia Ostrow W
15%
Draws
37%
Trojka Staszkowka W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ostrovia Ostrow W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / Medium Confidence
  • Ostrovia Ostrow W picked up more points recently compared to Trojka Staszkowka W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (4.00 vs 2.25 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 94%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%
Over 1.5 Goals 97%
Over 2.5 Goals 94%
Over 3.5 Goals 56%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 55%
Ostrovia Ostrow W Clean Sheet 10%
Trojka Staszkowka W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 87%
Second Half Goal 92%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ostrovia Ostrow W Trojka Staszkowka W
Matches Played 15 15
Wins 8 7
Draws 0 0
Losses 7 8
Goals Scored 3.53 3.27
Goals Conceded 2.33 4.07
Expected Goals (xG) 5.38 3.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 5.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 8, 2023 Polish Cup Women
Ostrovia Ostrow W vs Trojka Staszkowka W
8:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ostrovia Ostrow W 45 / 100
Trojka Staszkowka W 35 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ostrovia Ostrow W Trojka Staszkowka W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Ostrovia Ostrow W or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +20%
2.50
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +7.2%
1.14
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Ostrovia Ostrow W attacking → ← attacking Trojka Staszkowka W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ostrovia Ostrow W scored in 80% of their last 15 games.

Trojka Staszkowka W let in goals in 87% of their last 15 matches.

Games between these two average 8.00 goals.

Ostrovia Ostrow W went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Trojka Staszkowka W lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

24 Points in last 5 21
5.38 Goals expected (xG) 3.38
1.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 5.25