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Stadium Background

Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski vs Biala Podlaska

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group IV 2025/2026 Miejski Stadion Sportowy
Our Tip

Match Events

51'
Lazarz P.
51'
Lazarz P.
64' Event
Mroz J.

AI Match Summary

Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski in this III Liga - Group IV 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
44%
Draws
20%
Biala Podlaska
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski lately — more wins on the board than Biala Podlaska.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular III Liga - Group IV 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 28%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski Clean Sheet 18%
Biala Podlaska Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski Biala Podlaska
Matches Played 35 29
Wins 20 14
Draws 7 8
Losses 8 7
Goals Scored 1.75 1.71
Goals Conceded 1 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.71
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 3, 2026 III Liga - Group IV
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski vs Biala Podlaska
2:1
Sep 13, 2025 III Liga - Group IV
Biala Podlaska vs Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
1:2
Jun 7, 2025 III Liga - Group IV
Biala Podlaska vs Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
2:1
Nov 15, 2024 III Liga - Group IV
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski vs Biala Podlaska
3:2
Mar 16, 2024 III Liga - Group IV
Biala Podlaska vs Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski Compare

Top Goalscorer Lis J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Majewski M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Biala Podlaska Compare

Top Goalscorer Mroz J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.55
Avg xA / game 0.95

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski 36 / 100
Biala Podlaska 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski Biala Podlaska

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BIA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski scored in 71% of their last 35 outings.

Biala Podlaska let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski VS Biala Podlaska
1.75 Goals Scored 1.71
1 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 71%
63% Over 2.5 43%
13% Over 3.5 43%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Avia Swidnik34238384:3577
2Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski34228466:3074
3Chelmianka Chelm34219465:3172
4Korona Kielce II341841266:5958
5Star Starachowice341510951:4355
6Czarni Polaniec341651359:4953
7Biala Podlaska3414101060:4852
8Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow341491161:4551
9Wislanie Skawina341561352:5151
10Wisla II341541567:5849
11Wisloka Debica3412121037:3548
12Siarka Tarnobrzeg3411101359:5243
13Naprzod Jedrzejow341151845:5538
14Kolbuszowa Dolna341141936:5437
15Stal Krasnik34971842:5234
16Cracovia II34961944:7133
17Swidniczanka Swidnik34542535:8019
18Sparta Kazimierza Wielka34412929:11013