Sport Picks
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski vs Korona Kielce II - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Poland
III Liga - Group IV Miejski Stadion Sportowy, Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski 
Match Events
17'
17'
Lazarz P.
(Penalty)
35'
35'
Leszczyk K.
37'
37'
Snopczynski B.
AI Match Summary
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski in this III Liga - Group IV matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
31%
30%
39%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Korona Kielce II
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
30%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski lately — more wins on the board than Korona Kielce II.
- Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski are the model's pick here, at 42%.
- Regular III Liga - Group IV form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski Clean Sheet 18%
Korona Kielce II Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski | Korona Kielce II |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 15 | 13 |
| Draws | 8 | 4 |
| Losses | 5 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.82 | 1.97 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 2.03 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 14, 2026 III Liga - Group IV
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski vs Korona Kielce II
3:2
Apr 11, 2026 III Liga - Group IV
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski vs Korona Kielce II
0:0
Sep 19, 2025 III Liga - Group IV
Korona Kielce II vs Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
1:2
Apr 17, 2025 III Liga - Group IV
Korona Kielce II vs Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
1:2
Sep 20, 2024 III Liga - Group IV
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski vs Korona Kielce II
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski Compare
Top Goalscorer Leszczyk K.
1 Goals Assists Leader Snopczynski B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88
Korona Kielce II Compare
Top Goalscorer Karlinski B.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski 41 / 100
Korona Kielce II 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski Korona Kielce II
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Korona Kielce II let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.
Solid form: Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski VS Korona Kielce II
1.5 Goals Scored 1.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
(Home) 10 Oct
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
5 : 0 Busko-Zdroj
03 Oct
Czarni Polaniec
1 : 1 Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
27 Sept
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
1 : 2 Hetman Zamosc
19 Sept
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
0 : 0 Chelmianka Chelm
12 Sept
Wisla II
0 : 1 Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
Page 1 of 6
10 Oct
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
5 : 0 Busko-Zdroj
27 Sept
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
1 : 2 Hetman Zamosc
19 Sept
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
0 : 0 Chelmianka Chelm
05 Sept
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
2 : 2 Naprzod Jedrzejow
23 Aug
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
1 : 0 Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
Page 1 of 4
Korona Kielce II
(Away) 10 Oct
Korona Kielce II
4 : 0 Biala Podlaska
03 Oct
Siarka Tarnobrzeg
1 : 2 Korona Kielce II
26 Sept
Korona Kielce II
1 : 0 KS Wieczysta Krakow II
19 Sept
Wisloka Debica
1 : 0 Korona Kielce II
12 Sept
Korona Kielce II
2 : 2 Kolbuszowa Dolna
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Siarka Tarnobrzeg
1 : 2 Korona Kielce II
19 Sept
Wisloka Debica
1 : 0 Korona Kielce II
05 Sept
Jaroslaw
6 : 2 Korona Kielce II
14 Aug
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
3 : 2 Korona Kielce II
01 Aug
Naprzod Jedrzejow
5 : 4 Korona Kielce II
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chelmianka Chelm | 12 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 20:6 | 30 |
| 2 | Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 21:9 | 23 |
| 3 | Wisloka Debica | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 16:13 | 23 |
| 4 | Wislanie Skawina | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 19:12 | 20 |
| 5 | Naprzod Jedrzejow | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 27:21 | 20 |
| 6 | Czarni Polaniec | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 18:16 | 20 |
| 7 | Jaroslaw | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 28:22 | 17 |
| 8 | Wisla II | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 15:17 | 16 |
| 9 | Korona Kielce II | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 27:27 | 14 |
| 10 | Siarka Tarnobrzeg | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 15:19 | 14 |
| 11 | Hetman Zamosc | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 20:20 | 14 |
| 12 | Busko-Zdroj | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 17:26 | 14 |
| 13 | Kolbuszowa Dolna | 11 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 12:12 | 13 |
| 14 | Biala Podlaska | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 10:17 | 12 |
| 15 | KS Wieczysta Krakow II | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 11:15 | 12 |
| 16 | Star Starachowice | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 14:19 | 11 |
| 17 | Moravia Morawica | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 13:22 | 9 |
| 18 | Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 12:22 | 8 |
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)
