Sport Picks
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski vs Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Poland
III Liga - Group IV Miejski Stadion Sportowy, Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski 
Match Events
40'
40'
Snopczynski B.
45'
45'
Lazarz P.
Penalty Missed
AI Match Summary
The III Liga - Group IV game between Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski and Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
47%
30%
23%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski come out ahead of Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow on wins alone.
- Model gives Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski a 47% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski Clean Sheet 20%
Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski | Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 27 |
| Wins | 15 | 7 |
| Draws | 7 | 6 |
| Losses | 5 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.89 | 1.33 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.04 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 23, 2026 III Liga - Group IV
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski vs Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
1:0
Apr 26, 2026 III Liga - Group IV
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski vs Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
1:1
Oct 5, 2025 III Liga - Group IV
Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow vs Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
0:0
May 10, 2025 III Liga - Group IV
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski vs Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
1:0
Oct 12, 2024 III Liga - Group IV
Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow vs Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski Compare
Top Goalscorer Snopczynski B.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6
Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow Compare
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski 85 / 100
Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow's defensive record shows goals conceded in 85% of 27 matches.
Attacking prowess: Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski scored in 78% of their last 27 outings.
Solid form: Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Difficult form: Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski VS Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
1.5 Goals Scored 1.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
(Home) 10 Oct
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
5 : 0 Busko-Zdroj
03 Oct
Czarni Polaniec
1 : 1 Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
27 Sept
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
1 : 2 Hetman Zamosc
19 Sept
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
0 : 0 Chelmianka Chelm
12 Sept
Wisla II
0 : 1 Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
Page 1 of 6
10 Oct
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
5 : 0 Busko-Zdroj
27 Sept
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
1 : 2 Hetman Zamosc
19 Sept
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
0 : 0 Chelmianka Chelm
05 Sept
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
2 : 2 Naprzod Jedrzejow
23 Aug
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
1 : 0 Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
Page 1 of 4
Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
(Away) 10 Oct
Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
1 : 1 KS Wieczysta Krakow II
02 Oct
Wisloka Debica
2 : 1 Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
26 Sept
Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
0 : 1 Kolbuszowa Dolna
19 Sept
Jaroslaw
5 : 2 Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
12 Sept
Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
2 : 1 Busko-Zdroj
Page 1 of 6
02 Oct
Wisloka Debica
2 : 1 Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
19 Sept
Jaroslaw
5 : 2 Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
05 Sept
Czarni Polaniec
3 : 0 Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
23 Aug
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
1 : 0 Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
15 Aug
Naprzod Jedrzejow
2 : 1 Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chelmianka Chelm | 12 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 20:6 | 30 |
| 2 | Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 21:9 | 23 |
| 3 | Wisloka Debica | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 16:13 | 23 |
| 4 | Wislanie Skawina | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 19:12 | 20 |
| 5 | Naprzod Jedrzejow | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 27:21 | 20 |
| 6 | Czarni Polaniec | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 18:16 | 20 |
| 7 | Jaroslaw | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 28:22 | 17 |
| 8 | Wisla II | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 15:17 | 16 |
| 9 | Korona Kielce II | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 27:27 | 14 |
| 10 | Siarka Tarnobrzeg | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 15:19 | 14 |
| 11 | Hetman Zamosc | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 20:20 | 14 |
| 12 | Busko-Zdroj | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 17:26 | 14 |
| 13 | Kolbuszowa Dolna | 11 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 12:12 | 13 |
| 14 | Biala Podlaska | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 10:17 | 12 |
| 15 | KS Wieczysta Krakow II | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 11:15 | 12 |
| 16 | Star Starachowice | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 14:19 | 11 |
| 17 | Moravia Morawica | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 13:22 | 9 |
| 18 | Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 12:22 | 8 |
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)
