Sport Picks

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Osun United vs Akwa United

Nigeria Nigeria

NNL
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The NNL game between Osun United and Akwa United finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Osun United.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Osun United
28%
Draws
50%
Akwa United
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Akwa United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Akwa United carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Akwa United are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Osun United Clean Sheet 20%
Akwa United Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Osun United Akwa United
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 11 16
Draws 5 3
Losses 16 11
Goals Scored 0.63 1.25
Goals Conceded 1 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2026 NNL
Osun United vs Akwa United
1:0
Dec 14, 2025 NNL
Akwa United vs Osun United
1:0
Jan 30, 2008 NPFL
Akwa United vs Osun United
1:0
Jan 12, 2008 NPFL
Osun United vs Akwa United
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Osun United 24 / 100
Akwa United 49 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Osun United Akwa United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AKW Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Osun United scored in 63% of their last 32 games.

Akwa United has conceded goals in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Osun United went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Osun United VS Akwa United
0.63 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 0.63
38% Over 1.5 50%
13% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Osun United

(Home)
16 Apr
Osun United
0 : 1
Sporting Lagos
04 Apr
Osun United
2 : 1
Solution
28 Mar
First Bank
2 : 0
Osun United
25 Mar
Osun United
0 : 1
Stormers
14 Mar
Rovers FC
2 : 0
Osun United
Page 1 of 7

Akwa United

(Away)
01 Jun
El Kanemi Warriors
2 : 1
Akwa United
16 Apr
Solution
1 : 2
Akwa United
04 Apr
Abakaliki
1 : 0
Akwa United
29 Mar
Akwa United
3 : 1
Ekiti United
26 Mar
Godswill Akpabio
0 : 0
Akwa United
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Inter Lagos1685326:1329
2Beyond Limits FC1677223:1328
3Heartland FC1683521:1727
4Smart City1683521:1927
5Sunshine Stars1674518:1425
6Edel FC1662814:2020
7Crown FC1644818:1916
8Abia Comets1643916:3115
9Gateway United16331013:2412
Promotion - NPFL 2026/2027 (Main)
Promotion - NNL (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sporting Lagos18113431:1436
2Akwa United18112523:1335
3Ekiti United18100821:1730
4Stormers1882824:2626
5Abakaliki1874719:1725
6Solution1881918:2225
7Godswill Akpabio1866627:2424
8Rovers FC18711015:2122
9Osun United18621016:2420
10First Bank18431115:3115
Promotion - NPFL 2026/2027 (Main)
Promotion - NNL (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Doma United1482418:1126
2Lobi1472512:1023
3Basira1463517:1421
4Kada Warriors1455411:920
5Sokoto United145369:1118
6ABS1452710:1617
7Mighty Jets1451814:1616
8City FC Abuja1444610:1416
Promotion - NPFL 2026/2027 (Main)
Promotion - NNL (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 4)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ranchers Bees1262411:920
2Adamawa Utd1260612:1118
3Jigawa Golden Stars1253412:1518
4Yobe Stars1252514:1317
5Kebbi1251611:1116
6Bichi First1243511:915
7Gombe124358:1115
8Sporting Supreme00000:00
Promotion - NPFL 2026/2027 (Main)
Promotion - NNL (Championship Group)