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Stadium Background

Otelul vs Sepsi - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Romania Romania

Superliga Stadionul Otelul, Galati
Sun, Nov 1, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Otelul host Sepsi in the Superliga. Little to choose between these two on current form. Sepsi have shipped 0.93 goals a game lately, while Otelul have conceded 1.62 and scored 1.28. Past meetings favor Otelul slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 25, 2025, ending 0:3. The numbers (1.31 xG vs 1.44) point toward Sepsi. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Otelul
35%
Draws
46%
Sepsi
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Sepsi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Sepsi lately — more wins on the board than Otelul.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Otelul Clean Sheet 16%
Sepsi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Otelul Sepsi
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 12
Draws 10 10
Losses 11 7
Goals Scored 1.28 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.62 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2025 Superliga
Sepsi vs Otelul
0:3
Jan 26, 2025 Superliga
Sepsi vs Otelul
2:0
Dec 17, 2024 Romanian Cup
Otelul vs Sepsi
0:0
Aug 30, 2024 Superliga
Otelul vs Sepsi
2:0
Dec 12, 2023 Superliga
Otelul vs Sepsi
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Otelul 31 / 100
Sepsi 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Otelul Sepsi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sepsi Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Otelul's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Sepsi's defensive record shows goals conceded in 59% of 29 matches.

Otelul has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Otelul VS Sepsi
0.88 Goals Scored 0.88
2 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Otelul

(Home)
16 Oct
Otelul
1 : 1
Miercurea Ciuc
10 Oct
FCSB
1 : 0
Otelul
03 Oct
Otelul
1 : 1
FC Bacau
21 Sept
Otelul
2 : 3
Corvinul Hunedoara
14 Sept
Universitatea Cluj
3 : 0
Otelul
Page 1 of 6

Sepsi

(Away)
17 Oct
Petrolul
1 : 1
Sepsi
09 Oct
Sepsi
0 : 2
Dinamo Bucuresti
26 Sept
Sepsi
1 : 1
Gloria Bistrita
18 Sept
FC UTA Arad
1 : 0
Sepsi
12 Sept
Sepsi
3 : 1
CFR Cluj
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dinamo Bucuresti 12 9 2 1 27:7 29
2 Rapid Bucuresti 12 8 3 1 20:9 27
3 Univ. Craiova 12 8 2 2 27:9 26
4 Petrolul 12 6 2 4 15:16 20
5 Universitatea Cluj 12 6 1 5 22:20 19
6 FCSB 12 5 3 4 16:18 18
7 Farul Constanta 12 4 5 3 17:17 17
8 Corvinul Hunedoara 12 4 4 4 14:13 16
9 CFR Cluj 12 5 1 6 17:18 16
10 FC UTA Arad 12 4 3 5 15:17 15
11 FC Botosani 12 3 5 4 16:14 14
12 Sepsi 12 3 5 4 8:13 14
13 Campionii Arges 12 3 3 6 8:13 12
14 Otelul 12 2 5 5 12:17 11
15 Voluntari 12 2 2 8 12:27 8
16 Miercurea Ciuc 12 0 2 10 7:25 2
Promotion - Superliga (Championship Group)
Relegation - Superliga (Relegation Group)