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OTJ Jamnik vs Chmelov

Slovakia Slovakia

Slovak Cup
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

OTJ Jamnik play Chmelov in the Slovak Cup. OTJ Jamnik are favorites here. Recently, OTJ Jamnik averaged 1.75 goals scored and 1.38 conceded. Chmelov averaged 1 goals scored and 1 conceded. In past meetings, OTJ Jamnik won 1, Chmelov won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jul 27, 2025 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.38 for OTJ Jamnik and 1.19 for Chmelov. This points to a OTJ Jamnik double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
OTJ Jamnik
25%
Draws
15%
Chmelov
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: OTJ Jamnik

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

91% / Very High Confidence
  • OTJ Jamnik picked up more points recently compared to Chmelov.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.38 vs 1.19 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 64%
Over 2.5 Goals 55%
Over 3.5 Goals 33%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 55%
OTJ Jamnik Clean Sheet 20%
Chmelov Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 58%
Second Half Goal 61%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric OTJ Jamnik Chmelov
Matches Played 8 2
Wins 5 1
Draws 0 0
Losses 3 1
Goals Scored 1.75 1
Goals Conceded 1.38 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 27, 2025 Slovak Cup
OTJ Jamnik vs Chmelov
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

OTJ Jamnik 58 / 100
Chmelov 16 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
OTJ Jamnik Chmelov

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick OTJ Jamnik Win (1)
Secondary Pick OTJ Jamnik & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +15.2%
1.92
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.2%
2.04
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

OTJ Jamnik attacking → ← attacking Chmelov

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

OTJ Jamnik scored in 100% of their last 8 games.

Chmelov let in goals in 100% of their last 2 matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

OTJ Jamnik went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Chmelov lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Low
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Cup knockout game. Winning is all that matters, which can lead to wild tactics or extra time.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

15 Points in last 5 3
1.75 Goals expected (xG) 1.00
1.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00