Sport Picks

Stadium Background

OTP vs Jaro

Finland Finland

Suomen Cup 2024 Heinäpää, Oulu
0 - 3
FT
Our Tip

Match Events

69' Event
Eremenko S.
(Penalty)
81' Event
Sipola S.
88' Event
Kahkonen S.

AI Match Summary

Jaro in this Suomen Cup 2024 tie, finishing 0-3. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
OTP
20%
Draws
32%
Jaro
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: OTP

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

32% / Low Confidence
  • OTP average 1.1 goals a game right now, well clear of Jaro's 1.06.
  • Model gives Jaro a 32% chance of winning this.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Jaro, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
OTP Clean Sheet 20%
Jaro Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric OTP Jaro
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 6 6
Draws 1 8
Losses 23 17
Goals Scored 1.1 1.06
Goals Conceded 2.87 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 2.23 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 16, 2024 Suomen Cup
OTP vs Jaro
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

OTP Compare

Avg xG / game 1.72
Avg xA / game 1.11

Jaro Compare

Top Goalscorer Sipola S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kahkonen S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.07
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

OTP 12 / 100
Jaro 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
OTP Jaro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jaro Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jaro's defensive record shows goals conceded in 84% of 31 matches.

OTP's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Jaro registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Jaro
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 3.25
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

OTP

(Home)
11 Apr
OTP
1 : 8
VPS 2
28 Sept
JS Hercules
1 : 2
OTP
22 Sept
OTP
2 : 3
JPS Jyvaskyla
14 Sept
OPS
5 : 0
OTP
07 Sept
JPS Jyvaskyla
2 : 1
OTP
Page 1 of 6

Jaro

(Away)
18 Sept
Lahti
1 : 1
Jaro
12 Sept
Jaro
1 : 1
SJK
08 Sept
Ilves
2 : 0
Jaro
31 Aug
Mariehamn
2 : 0
Jaro
22 Aug
Jaro
0 : 1
AC Oulu
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Millbrook 1
NJS III 5
Lahti/69 3
EIF Academy 1
FC Kiisto Vaasa 2
KPV Kokkola 5
OTP 0
Jaro 3
Atlantis 2 0
NJS 3
LePa 1
EPS 3
PK-37 2
Kultsu Joutseno 3
TBD -
Lahti -
EBK 4
FC Futura 2
FC Kirkkonummi 0
Keski-Uusimaa 4
Lahden Reipas 1
JJK Jyvaskyla 0
Jippo 0
Haka 2
EsPa 0
Honka 1
Atletico Malmi 0
PK-35 2
POHU/Hurjin 0
LoPa 6
PoPo 0
Poxyt 2 4
Simpeleen Urheilijat 0
KTP 21
MyPa 1
Vaajakoski 2
TPS 3 2
Ilves 2 3
TBD -
Inter Turku -
Tikka 0
PuiU Helsinki 2
FC Kontu 0
GrIFK 1
TuWe 0
MuSa 10
Fish United 1
TPV 3
Sporting Kristina 1
VIFK 5
SIF 0
SJK Akatemia 6
NoPS 2 1
VaKP 3
NoPS 1
Pallo-Iirot 3
VG-62 Naantali 1
Jazz Pori 3
KaaPo 0
TPS 4
Mikkelin 2 2
KeuPa 1
ViPa 0
Mikkelin 8
Ilves -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
JS Hercules 0
OLS Oulu 4
Rollon Pojat 0
SJK 8
Tove 2
Haka 2 3
Tampere Utd 0
FC Inter Turku 2 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
VPS -
Poxyt 0
VJS 2
VJS 2 1
Gnistan 8
Atlantis 6
EsPa 2 0
LAUTP 1
JaPS 2
Roi United 0
GBK Kokkola 4
Lapuan Virkia Lapua 1
AC Oulu 7
Polin Pallo 1
Toolon Taisto 5
POHU/KY 0
KaPa 7
Kiffen 0
Pallo-Pojat Juniorit (PPJ) 1
Gnistan/M35 1
JaPS 2 5
MaPS 0
SalPa 2
Tampere Utd 2 0
Ekenas IF 11
NuPS 2 0
PPS/Old Stars 3
Finnkurd 1
Tuusulan Palloseura 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
HJK -
Edustus IPS 0
MiPK 1
Kyparamaki 0
PEPO 3
KaPa 1924 5
KePS 0
JBK 2
RoPS Rovaniemi 1
LPS 4
EPS 2 0
RiPS 0
Mariehamn 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
KuPS -
1/32-finals
NJS III 2
Lahti/69 3
KPV Kokkola 4
Jaro 0
NJS 0
EPS 3
Kultsu Joutseno 0
Lahti 7
EBK 2
Keski-Uusimaa 0
Lahden Reipas 1
Haka 5
Honka 1
PK-35 2
LoPa 0
Poxyt 2 1
KTP 5
Vaajakoski 0
Ilves 2 0
Inter Turku 3
PuiU Helsinki 1
GrIFK 3
MuSa 2
TPV 0
VIFK 1
SJK Akatemia 2
VaKP 2
Pallo-Iirot 4
Jazz Pori 1
TPS 2
Mikkelin 2 0
Mikkelin 3
Ilves -
TBD -
OLS Oulu 1
SJK 2
Haka 2 0
FC Inter Turku 2 4
TBD -
VPS -
VJS 3
Gnistan 0
Atlantis 3
JaPS 1
GBK Kokkola 0
AC Oulu 3
Toolon Taisto 1
KaPa 2
Pallo-Pojat Juniorit (PPJ) 2
JaPS 2 0
SalPa 2
Ekenas IF 3
PPS/Old Stars 0
Tuusulan Palloseura 6
TBD -
HJK -
MiPK 1
PEPO 4
KaPa 1924 0
JBK 1
LPS 0
Mariehamn 5
TBD -
KuPS -
1/16-finals
Lahti/69 0
KPV Kokkola 4
EPS 2
Lahti 3
EBK 1
Haka 5
PK-35 4
Poxyt 2 0
KTP 1
Inter Turku 5
GrIFK 3
MuSa 2
SJK Akatemia 2
Pallo-Iirot 1
TPS 1
Mikkelin 0
Ilves 2
SJK 4
FC Inter Turku 2 1
VPS 5
VJS 2
Atlantis 1
AC Oulu 5
KaPa 1
Pallo-Pojat Juniorit (PPJ) 1
Ekenas IF 2
Tuusulan Palloseura 0
HJK 5
PEPO 1
JBK 0
Mariehamn 1
KuPS 3
1/8-finals
KPV Kokkola 2
Lahti 1
Haka 1
PK-35 0
Inter Turku 6
GrIFK 1
SJK Akatemia 0
TPS 3
SJK 5
VPS 1
VJS 0
AC Oulu 2
Ekenas IF 1
HJK 0
PEPO 1
KuPS 5
Quarter-finals
KPV Kokkola 1
Haka 2
Inter Turku 3
TPS 2
SJK 2
AC Oulu 0
Ekenas IF 0
KuPS 2
Semi-finals
Haka 1
Inter Turku 2
SJK 2
KuPS 3
Final
Inter Turku 1
KuPS 2