Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ottawa Fury vs Hartford Athletic

USA USA

USL Championship 2019
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Barry H.
(Penalty)
16' Event
Barry H.
(Penalty)
18' Event
Francois C.
Assist: Dixon J.

AI Match Summary

The USL Championship 2019 game between Ottawa Fury and Hartford Athletic finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ottawa Fury.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Ottawa Fury
40%
Draws
29%
Hartford Athletic
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Hartford Athletic come out ahead of Ottawa Fury on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this USL Championship 2019 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Ottawa Fury Clean Sheet 20%
Hartford Athletic Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ottawa Fury Hartford Athletic
Matches Played 31 36
Wins 11 12
Draws 9 9
Losses 11 15
Goals Scored 0 0.75
Goals Conceded 0 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 22, 2019 USL Championship
Ottawa Fury vs Hartford Athletic
4:1
May 25, 2019 USL Championship
Hartford Athletic vs Ottawa Fury
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ottawa Fury Compare

Top Goalscorer Francois C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Barry H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Hartford Athletic Compare

Top Goalscorer Angulo J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ottawa Fury 32 / 100
Hartford Athletic 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ottawa Fury Hartford Athletic

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Ottawa Fury scored in 74% of their last 31 games.

Hartford Athletic has conceded goals in 69% of their last 36 outings.

Ottawa Fury went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Hartford Athletic
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ottawa Fury

(Home)
23 Oct
Ottawa Fury
1 : 2
Charleston
19 Oct
Charlotte Independence
3 : 1
Ottawa Fury
12 Oct
Ottawa Fury
1 : 1
Bethlehem Steel FC
09 Oct
Sporting Kansas City II
1 : 2
Ottawa Fury
02 Oct
Ottawa Fury
1 : 0
Indy Eleven
Page 1 of 7

Hartford Athletic

(Away)
18 Jul
Rhode Island
1 : 0
Hartford Athletic
11 Jul
Hartford Athletic
2 : 1
Westchester SC
08 Jul
Hartford Athletic
2 : 2
Orange County SC
05 Jul
Louisville City
1 : 0
Hartford Athletic
20 Jun
Hartford Athletic
0 : 0
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
Page 1 of 8

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Pittsburgh Riverhounds341911458:3068
2Nashville SC34207759:2667
3Indy Eleven34196948:2963
4Louisville City34179858:4160
5Tampa Bay341610861:3358
6New York Red Bulls II341761174:5157
7North Carolina FC341681057:3756
8Ottawa Fury3414101050:4352
9Charleston3411131044:4446
10Birmingham Legion341271535:5143
11St. Louis FC341191440:4142
12Loudoun United341161759:6539
13Charlotte Independence349111442:5338
14Atlanta United 234981745:7735
15Memphis 90134971837:5234
16Bethlehem Steel FC34871949:7831
17Hartford Athletic34852149:8029
18Sporting Kansas City II34682046:8026
Promotion - USL Championship 2019 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Phoenix Rising34246489:3678
2Reno 1868341861072:5160
3Monterey Bay34169958:4457
4Real Monarchs341681071:5356
5Orange County SC341591054:4354
6El Paso Locomotive3413111042:3650
7Sacramento Republic341461450:4348
8Austin Bold341391253:5248
9Ventura County3412121059:6248
10New Mexico3411131059:5746
11San Antonio FC341291362:5745
12Rio Grande Valley FC Toros341181550:5841
13Las Vegas Lights341181546:5641
14Portland Timbers 2341081665:7138
15Oklahoma City Energy FC349111445:5838
16FC Tulsa348101645:6934
17Tacoma Defiance34871942:8231
18Colorado Springs34762131:6527
Promotion - USL Championship 2019 (Play Offs)