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Ottawa Fury vs Indy Eleven

USA USA

USL Championship 2019
Our Tip

Match Events

11'
Attakora N.
16' Event
Haworth C.
33'
Haworth C.

AI Match Summary

Ottawa Fury in this USL Championship 2019 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ottawa Fury.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Ottawa Fury
44%
Draws
20%
Indy Eleven
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Indy Eleven have won more games recently than Ottawa Fury.
  • 44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Ottawa Fury Clean Sheet 16%
Indy Eleven Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ottawa Fury Indy Eleven
Matches Played 30 36
Wins 10 15
Draws 9 7
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 0 1.88
Goals Conceded 0 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 2, 2019 USL Championship
Ottawa Fury vs Indy Eleven
1:0
Sep 11, 2019 USL Championship
Indy Eleven vs Ottawa Fury
2:0
Aug 18, 2018 USL Championship
Ottawa Fury vs Indy Eleven
0:0
Jul 4, 2018 USL Championship
Indy Eleven vs Ottawa Fury
0:1
Aug 28, 2016 NASL
Ottawa Fury vs Indy Eleven
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ottawa Fury Compare

Top Goalscorer Haworth C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Indy Eleven Compare

Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ottawa Fury 36 / 100
Indy Eleven 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ottawa Fury Indy Eleven

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick IND Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ottawa Fury's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Indy Eleven let in goals in 72% of their last 36 matches.

Ottawa Fury went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

These sides typically produce 1.20 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

- VS Indy Eleven
0 Goals Scored 1.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Pittsburgh Riverhounds341911458:3068
2Nashville SC34207759:2667
3Indy Eleven34196948:2963
4Louisville City34179858:4160
5Tampa Bay341610861:3358
6New York Red Bulls II341761174:5157
7North Carolina FC341681057:3756
8Ottawa Fury3414101050:4352
9Charleston3411131044:4446
10Birmingham Legion341271535:5143
11St. Louis FC341191440:4142
12Loudoun United341161759:6539
13Charlotte Independence349111442:5338
14Atlanta United 234981745:7735
15Memphis 90134971837:5234
16Bethlehem Steel FC34871949:7831
17Hartford Athletic34852149:8029
18Sporting Kansas City II34682046:8026
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Phoenix Rising34246489:3678
2Reno 1868341861072:5160
3Monterey Bay34169958:4457
4Real Monarchs341681071:5356
5Orange County SC341591054:4354
6El Paso Locomotive3413111042:3650
7Sacramento Republic341461450:4348
8Austin Bold341391253:5248
9Ventura County3412121059:6248
10New Mexico3411131059:5746
11San Antonio FC341291362:5745
12Rio Grande Valley FC Toros341181550:5841
13Las Vegas Lights341181546:5641
14Portland Timbers 2341081665:7138
15Oklahoma City Energy FC349111445:5838
16FC Tulsa348101645:6934
17Tacoma Defiance34871942:8231
18Colorado Springs34762131:6527