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Ottawa Fury vs San Antonio Scorpions

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NASL 2015
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ottawa Fury play San Antonio Scorpions in the NASL 2015. It looks like a close match. Recently, Ottawa Fury averaged 1.34 goals scored and 1.45 conceded. San Antonio Scorpions averaged 1.33 goals scored and 1.7 conceded. In past meetings, Ottawa Fury won 2, San Antonio Scorpions won 0, and they drew 3. Their last match on Oct 18, 2015 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.29 for Ottawa Fury and 1.19 for San Antonio Scorpions. This points to a Ottawa Fury double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Ottawa Fury
35%
Draws
26%
San Antonio Scorpions
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Ottawa Fury

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

75% / High Confidence
  • Ottawa Fury picked up more points recently compared to San Antonio Scorpions.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.29 vs 1.19 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 73%
Over 2.5 Goals 53%
Over 3.5 Goals 32%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 56%
Ottawa Fury Clean Sheet 20%
San Antonio Scorpions Clean Sheet 11%
First Half Goal 66%
Second Half Goal 69%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ottawa Fury San Antonio Scorpions
Matches Played 38 30
Wins 13 7
Draws 11 10
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 1.34 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.7

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 18, 2015 NASL
Ottawa Fury vs San Antonio Scorpions
1:0
Sep 6, 2015 NASL
San Antonio Scorpions vs Ottawa Fury
0:1
Jun 14, 2015 NASL
San Antonio Scorpions vs Ottawa Fury
0:0
Oct 5, 2014 NASL
San Antonio Scorpions vs Ottawa Fury
1:1
Aug 17, 2014 NASL
Ottawa Fury vs San Antonio Scorpions
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ottawa Fury Compare

Top Goalscorer Eustaquio M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

San Antonio Scorpions Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ottawa Fury 39 / 100
San Antonio Scorpions 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ottawa Fury San Antonio Scorpions

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Ottawa Fury or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +26%
3.23
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.9%
2.13
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Ottawa Fury attacking → ← attacking San Antonio Scorpions

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ottawa Fury scored in 74% of their last 38 games.

San Antonio Scorpions let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.20 goals.

Ottawa Fury went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

San Antonio Scorpions lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

50 Points in last 5 31
1.38 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
1.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Ottawa Fury20136137:1545
2Minnesota United20116339:2639
3New York Cosmos20106431:2136
4Fort Lauderdale Strikers2086637:2730
5Edmonton2075825:2426
6Atlanta SC2067724:2725
7North Carolina FC20631129:3921
8Indy Eleven20551023:3620
9Tampa Bay20551018:2820
10San Antonio Scorpions2047930:3719
11Jacksonville Armada20541118:3119