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Ottawa Rapid FC W vs Calgary Wild FC W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Canada Canada

NSL Women TD Place Stadium, Ottawa, ON
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Okobi-Okeoghene N.
Assist: Fridlund J.
25' Event
Fridlund J.
Assist: Belzile F.
46'
Sub
Stewart T. In: Dougherty M.
Out: Stewart T.

AI Match Summary

Ottawa Rapid FC W in this NSL Women matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ottawa Rapid FC W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Ottawa Rapid FC W
30%
Draws
47%
Calgary Wild FC W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Calgary Wild FC W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Ottawa Rapid FC W have won more games recently than Calgary Wild FC W.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Calgary Wild FC W taking it.
  • Regular NSL Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 84%).
  • History favors Ottawa Rapid FC W here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 84%
Over 3.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 37%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Ottawa Rapid FC W Clean Sheet 10%
Calgary Wild FC W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ottawa Rapid FC W Calgary Wild FC W
Matches Played 23 23
Wins 12 4
Draws 3 6
Losses 8 13
Goals Scored 1.96 1.09
Goals Conceded 1.78 2.26
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 NSL Women
Ottawa Rapid FC W vs Calgary Wild FC W
3:1
Aug 15, 2026 NSL Women
Calgary Wild FC W vs Ottawa Rapid FC W
4:3
Jul 23, 2026 NSL Women
Calgary Wild FC W vs Ottawa Rapid FC W
1:2
Jul 5, 2026 NSL Women
Ottawa Rapid FC W vs Calgary Wild FC W
3:1
May 2, 2026 NSL Women
Ottawa Rapid FC W vs Calgary Wild FC W
5:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ottawa Rapid FC W Compare

Top Goalscorer Okobi-Okeoghene N.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Fridlund J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03

Calgary Wild FC W Compare

Top Goalscorer Frederique
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ottawa Rapid FC W 18 / 100
Calgary Wild FC W 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ottawa Rapid FC W Calgary Wild FC W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Calgary Wild FC W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ottawa Rapid FC W found the back of the net in 87% of recent matches (23 games).

Calgary Wild FC W has conceded goals in 87% of their last 23 outings.

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Ottawa Rapid FC W stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ottawa Rapid FC W VS Calgary Wild FC W
1.88 Goals Scored 1.63
2.88 Goals Conceded 2.25
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 75%
88% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Ottawa Rapid FC W

(Home)
02 Oct
Montreal Roses FC W
0 : 0
Ottawa Rapid FC W
26 Sept
AFC Toronto W
3 : 0
Ottawa Rapid FC W
20 Sept
Ottawa Rapid FC W
3 : 1
Calgary Wild FC W
13 Sept
Vancouver Rise FC W
4 : 0
Ottawa Rapid FC W
06 Sept
Ottawa Rapid FC W
2 : 3
Montreal Roses FC W
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Calgary Wild FC W

(Away)
03 Oct
Halifax Tides FC W
0 : 0
Calgary Wild FC W
27 Sept
Calgary Wild FC W
3 : 1
Vancouver Rise FC W
20 Sept
Ottawa Rapid FC W
3 : 1
Calgary Wild FC W
12 Sept
Calgary Wild FC W
1 : 0
Halifax Tides FC W
06 Sept
AFC Toronto W
0 : 0
Calgary Wild FC W
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Montreal Roses FC W 23 11 8 4 40:25 41
2 AFC Toronto W 22 10 7 5 36:21 37
3 Ottawa Rapid FC W 22 11 3 8 42:39 36
4 Vancouver Rise FC W 22 8 3 11 41:47 27
5 Halifax Tides FC W 22 7 5 10 19:19 26
6 Calgary Wild FC W 23 4 6 13 25:52 18
Promotion - NSL Women (Play Offs)