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Ottestad vs Faaberg

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 9
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Division 3 - Group 9 game between Ottestad and Faaberg finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Faaberg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Ottestad
15%
Draws
42%
Faaberg
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ottestad

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Ottestad haven't matched Faaberg's recent run of results.
  • 42% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Division 3 - Group 9 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 94%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 94%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.6%
Ottestad Clean Sheet 11%
Faaberg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ottestad Faaberg
Matches Played 44 30
Wins 10 12
Draws 7 6
Losses 27 12
Goals Scored 1.66 1.63
Goals Conceded 2.57 1.8
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 6, 2016 Division 3 - Group 9
Ottestad vs Faaberg
2:3
Apr 16, 2016 Division 3 - Group 9
Faaberg vs Ottestad
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ottestad 30 / 100
Faaberg 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ottestad Faaberg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FAA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ottestad found the back of the net in 82% of recent matches (44 games).

Defensive concern: Faaberg conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Difficult form: Faaberg registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ottestad VS Faaberg
1.5 Goals Scored 0
2.63 Goals Conceded 3
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ottestad

(Home)
19 May
Elverum
2 : 1
Ottestad
01 May
Ottestad
0 : 1
Ham-Kam
27 Oct
Ottestad
1 : 0
Tynset
20 Oct
Brumunddal
4 : 0
Ottestad
13 Oct
Orkla
4 : 0
Ottestad
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Faaberg

(Away)
02 May
Faaberg
0 : 3
Valerenga
22 Oct
Alvdal
0 : 2
Faaberg
15 Oct
Faaberg
1 : 4
Sverresborg IF
08 Oct
Faaberg
0 : 1
Redalen
01 Oct
Heimdal
3 : 2
Faaberg
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