Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ottestad vs Moelven

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 3 2014
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Division 3 - Group 3 2014 game between Ottestad and Moelven finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ottestad.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Ottestad
15%
Draws
42%
Moelven
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ottestad

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ottestad come out ahead of Moelven on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Division 3 - Group 3 2014 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Ottestad here — 4 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Ottestad Clean Sheet 10%
Moelven Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ottestad Moelven
Matches Played 38 30
Wins 10 7
Draws 6 5
Losses 22 18
Goals Scored 1.5 1.53
Goals Conceded 2.42 2.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 15, 2014 Division 3 - Group 3
Ottestad vs Moelven
3:2
May 28, 2014 Division 3 - Group 3
Moelven vs Ottestad
1:7
Aug 3, 2012 Division 3 - Group 4
Ottestad vs Moelven
3:1
Apr 21, 2012 Division 3 - Group 4
Moelven vs Ottestad
0:5

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ottestad 29 / 100
Moelven 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ottestad Moelven

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ottestad Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Moelven's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 5.50 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Ottestad scored in 79% of their last 38 outings.

Moelven's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Ottestad VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
2.75 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
100% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ottestad

(Home)
19 May
Elverum
2 : 1
Ottestad
01 May
Ottestad
0 : 1
Ham-Kam
27 Oct
Ottestad
1 : 0
Tynset
20 Oct
Brumunddal
4 : 0
Ottestad
13 Oct
Orkla
4 : 0
Ottestad
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Moelven

(Away)
24 Oct
Moelven
1 : 0
Buvik
17 Oct
Gjovik-Lyn 2
5 : 2
Moelven
10 Oct
Moelven
1 : 3
Flisa
03 Oct
Tynset
3 : 0
Moelven
26 Sept
Moelven
2 : 4
FK Kvik
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