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Ouanaminthe vs Real Hope - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Haiti Haiti

Championnat National 2024
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AI Match Summary

The Championnat National 2024 game between Ouanaminthe and Real Hope finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ouanaminthe.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Ouanaminthe
20%
Draws
51%
Real Hope
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Real Hope

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Real Hope carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Championnat National 2024 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.8%
Ouanaminthe Clean Sheet 18%
Real Hope Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ouanaminthe Real Hope
Matches Played 30 27
Wins 10 14
Draws 8 4
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 0.9 1.15
Goals Conceded 1.1 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 4, 2025 Championnat National
Ouanaminthe vs Real Hope
0:1
Apr 6, 2025 Championnat National
Real Hope vs Ouanaminthe
0:1
May 26, 2024 Championnat National
Real Hope vs Ouanaminthe
2:1
Apr 11, 2024 Championnat National
Ouanaminthe vs Real Hope
1:0
Mar 28, 2024 Championnat National
Real Hope vs Ouanaminthe
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ouanaminthe 32 / 100
Real Hope 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ouanaminthe Real Hope

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Real Hope Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ouanaminthe's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Real Hope has conceded goals in 59% of their last 27 outings.

Games between these two average 1.40 goals.

Recent resilience: Ouanaminthe stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ouanaminthe VS Real Hope
0.75 Goals Scored 1
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
50% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ouanaminthe

(Home)
04 May
Ouanaminthe
0 : 1
Real Hope
27 Apr
AS Capoise
1 : 0
Ouanaminthe
20 Apr
Ouanaminthe
1 : 1
Fica
06 Apr
Real Hope
0 : 1
Ouanaminthe
30 Mar
Ouanaminthe
0 : 1
AS Capoise
Page 1 of 6

Real Hope

(Away)
04 May
Ouanaminthe
0 : 1
Real Hope
27 Apr
Real Hope
0 : 0
Fica
20 Apr
AS Capoise
0 : 1
Real Hope
06 Apr
Real Hope
0 : 1
Ouanaminthe
30 Mar
Fica
1 : 0
Real Hope
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Real Hope 8 5 0 3 10:5 15
2 Ouanaminthe 8 4 1 3 6:6 13
3 Racing des Gonaives 8 3 3 2 9:8 12
4 AS Capoise 8 3 2 3 6:6 11
5 Fica 8 1 2 5 2:8 5
Promotion - Championnat National 2024 (Serie de Ouverture - 2nd Phase)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cosmopolites 8 3 3 2 5:4 12
2 Baltimore 8 3 3 2 4:3 12
3 Tempete 8 2 5 1 4:3 11
4 Triomphe Liancourt 8 2 3 3 3:5 9
5 Rivartibonitienne 8 2 2 4 3:4 8
Promotion - Championnat National 2024 (Serie de Ouverture - 2nd Phase)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 America des Cayes 6 4 2 0 15:3 14
2 Cavaly 6 2 3 1 8:7 9
3 Racing Haitien 6 1 3 2 3:9 6
4 Juventus 6 0 2 4 2:9 2
5 Violette 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Championnat National 2024 (Serie de Ouverture - 2nd Phase)