Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ouargla vs Ghozlane

Algeria Algeria

Ligue 2 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Lazhar B.

AI Match Summary

Ouargla in this Ligue 2 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ouargla.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Ouargla
20%
Draws
64%
Ghozlane
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ghozlane

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

16% / Low Confidence
  • Ouargla have won more games recently than Ghozlane.
  • Ouargla are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Ligue 2 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Ouargla Clean Sheet 68%
Ghozlane Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ouargla Ghozlane
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 9 7
Draws 9 7
Losses 16 16
Goals Scored 0.97 0.87
Goals Conceded 1.32 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 16, 2024 Ligue 2
Ouargla vs Ghozlane
1:0
Nov 10, 2023 Ligue 2
Ghozlane vs Ouargla
1:1
Apr 15, 2023 Ligue 2
Ghozlane vs Ouargla
2:3
Dec 9, 2022 Ligue 2
Ouargla vs Ghozlane
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ouargla Compare

Top Goalscorer Lazhar B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

Ghozlane Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ouargla 59 / 100
Ghozlane 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ouargla Ghozlane

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ouargla Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ghozlane has conceded goals in 93% of their last 30 outings.

Ouargla scored in 71% of their last 34 games.

H2H data points to 2.25 goals as a typical output.

Ghozlane's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Ouargla VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ouargla

(Home)
17 May
Annaba
3 : 0
Ouargla
09 May
Ouargla
2 : 2
MO Constantine
26 Apr
Chelghoum
2 : 1
Ouargla
19 Apr
Ouargla
1 : 2
Harrach
10 Apr
US Souf
1 : 0
Ouargla
Page 1 of 7

Ghozlane

(Away)
01 Jun
Annaba
5 : 1
Ghozlane
28 May
Ghozlane
1 : 1
CA Batna
24 May
Olympique Akbou
3 : 0
Ghozlane
18 May
Ghozlane
2 : 1
Chelghoum
11 May
Ghozlane
0 : 1
Harrach
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Olympique Akbou 30 22 4 4 59:19 70
2 MSP Batna 30 18 7 5 46:22 61
3 Bordj Menail 30 12 9 9 33:27 45
4 CA Batna 30 10 13 7 26:22 43
5 MO Constantine 30 11 9 10 32:36 42
6 IB Khemis El Khechna 30 11 8 11 28:26 41
7 Harrach 30 12 5 13 35:34 41
8 Ouargla 30 11 8 11 23:32 41
9 Chelghoum 30 11 6 13 33:31 39
10 Olympique Magrane 30 11 6 13 28:37 39
11 Khroub 30 9 11 10 35:28 38
12 Annaba 30 8 14 8 33:28 38
13 Telaghema 30 12 2 16 40:41 38
14 Mlila 30 10 7 13 28:34 37
15 Ghozlane 30 7 8 15 27:49 29
16 Eulma 30 3 7 20 17:57 16
Promotion - Ligue 1 2024/2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mostaganem 30 23 6 1 60:11 75
2 RC Kouba 30 19 7 4 38:17 64
3 WA Mostaganem 30 16 8 6 59:29 56
4 CR Temouchent 30 14 7 9 35:26 49
5 GC Mascara 30 13 5 12 31:34 43
6 Kolea 30 12 5 13 38:35 41
7 JSM Tiaret 30 10 10 10 31:33 40
8 SC Mecheria 30 10 8 12 41:40 38
9 Hussein Dey 30 11 6 13 24:30 38
10 Oued Sly 30 11 5 14 27:35 38
11 Arba 30 11 5 14 37:47 38
12 El Khemis 30 11 4 15 42:41 37
13 ASM Oran 30 10 9 11 39:42 37
14 Widad Adabi de Boufarik 30 9 9 12 33:36 36
15 Medea 30 3 8 19 26:57 15
16 Guir Abadla 30 4 4 22 31:79 15
Promotion - Ligue 1 2024/2025 (Main)