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Oued Ellil vs Espoir Rogba Prediction & H2H Stats

Tunisia Tunisia

Tunisia Cup 2024/2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Oued Ellil in this Tunisia Cup 2024/2025 tie, finishing 2-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Oued Ellil
20%
Draws
0%
Espoir Rogba
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Oued Ellil

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Oued Ellil have won more games recently than Espoir Rogba.
  • Win probability leans Oued Ellil's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Oued Ellil have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Oued Ellil, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Oued Ellil Clean Sheet 20%
Espoir Rogba Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Oued Ellil Espoir Rogba
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 3
Draws 9 6
Losses 13 21
Goals Scored 0.9 0.73
Goals Conceded 1.17 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 0.76
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 18, 2025 Tunisia Cup
Oued Ellil vs Espoir Rogba
2:0
May 14, 2023 Ligue 2
Espoir Rogba vs Oued Ellil
1:0
Dec 24, 2022 Ligue 2
Oued Ellil vs Espoir Rogba
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Oued Ellil 85 / 100
Espoir Rogba 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Oued Ellil Espoir Rogba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Oued Ellil Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Espoir Rogba let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Espoir Rogba's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Oued Ellil scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Games between these two average 1.67 goals.

Scoring Trends

Oued Ellil VS Espoir Rogba
0.5 Goals Scored 0.88
0.63 Goals Conceded 3.25
38% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Oued Ellil

(Home)
08 Feb
Sahline
2 : 1
Oued Ellil
24 May
Kalaa
2 : 2
Oued Ellil
17 May
Oued Ellil
2 : 1
EM Mahdia
10 May
Ariana
0 : 1
Oued Ellil
05 May
Oued Ellil
1 : 1
Hammam-Lif
Page 1 of 6

Espoir Rogba

(Away)
23 May
Espoir Rogba
2 : 3
Sidi Bouzid
16 May
Espoir Rogba
2 : 7
Kasserine
10 May
JS Kairouan
3 : 1
Espoir Rogba
05 May
Espoir Rogba
0 : 1
Sfax Railways
26 Apr
Redeyef
3 : 0
Espoir Rogba
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Monastir -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Jeunesse Sportive -
Chebika -
TBD -
Kalaa 1
Djelma 2
Moknine 0
PS Sakiet Eddaier 2
TBD -
ES Fahs -
US Tataouine -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Club Africain -
Olympique Beja -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Khdhra Sport -
TBD -
Chebba 0
Msaken 2
Badr El Ain -
TBD -
ES Jerba 0
JS Kairouan 2
Sfax Railways 1
Ariana 0
EM Mahdia 1
AS Marsa 3
Mornag -
TBD -
Menzel Bourguiba 2
Korba 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Etoile Sahel -
Khniss -
TBD -
TBD -
AS Hamma -
Ettadhamen -
TBD -
TBD -
JS Manouba -
Stade Tunisien -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sidi Bouzid 1
Rades 1
TBD -
Nahdha Jammal -
Ben Guerdane -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
CA Bizertin -
Zriba-Hammam -
TBD -
Stade Gabesien 0
Megrine 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
CS Sfaxien -
Gafsa -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Redeyef 1
Hamam-Sousse 2
Oued Ellil 2
Espoir Rogba 0
Om Laarayes -
TBD -
TBD -
Widad Sers -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Soliman -
Bembla -
TBD -
TBD -
Aigle Teboulba -
Jebel Jeloud -
TBD -
Hammam-Lif 1
BS Bouhajla 0
Esperance Tunis -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kasserine 1
Kerkennah 0
TBD -
Sportive Kebili -
Menzel Temim -
TBD -
AS Agareb 0
Jendouba Sport 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
AS Gabes -
Metlaoui -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Zarzis -
1/32-finals
Monastir -
TBD -
TBD -
Jeunesse Sportive -
Chebika 0
Djelma 2
PS Sakiet Eddaier 5
ES Fahs 0
US Tataouine -
TBD -
TBD -
Club Africain -
Olympique Beja -
TBD -
Khdhra Sport 0
Msaken 1
Badr El Ain 2
JS Kairouan 5
Sfax Railways 3
AS Marsa 2
Mornag 2
Menzel Bourguiba 1
TBD -
Etoile Sahel -
Khniss 2
AS Hamma 0
Ettadhamen 1
JS Manouba 2
Stade Tunisien -
TBD -
Sidi Bouzid 2
Nahdha Jammal 0
Ben Guerdane -
TBD -
TBD -
CA Bizertin -
Zriba-Hammam 1
Megrine 0
TBD -
CS Sfaxien -
Gafsa -
TBD -
Hamam-Sousse 1
Oued Ellil 0
Om Laarayes 1
Widad Sers 0
TBD -
Soliman -
Bembla 3
Aigle Teboulba 1
Jebel Jeloud 0
Hammam-Lif 1
Esperance Tunis -
TBD -
Kasserine 6
Sportive Kebili 0
Menzel Temim 0
Jendouba Sport 6
TBD -
AS Gabes -
Metlaoui -
TBD -
TBD -
Zarzis -
1/16-finals
Monastir 2
Jeunesse Sportive 1
Djelma 1
PS Sakiet Eddaier 0
US Tataouine 0
Club Africain 1
Olympique Beja 0
Msaken 1
JS Kairouan 1
Sfax Railways 0
Mornag 0
Etoile Sahel 1
Khniss 0
JS Manouba 1
Stade Tunisien 1
Sidi Bouzid 0
Ben Guerdane 1
CA Bizertin 0
Zriba-Hammam 0
CS Sfaxien 5
Gafsa 2
Hamam-Sousse 1
Om Laarayes 1
Soliman 2
Bembla 2
Hammam-Lif 4
Esperance Tunis 6
Kasserine 0
Jendouba Sport 0
AS Gabes 1
Metlaoui 0
Zarzis 2
1/8-finals
Monastir 5
Djelma 0
Club Africain 2
Msaken 1
JS Kairouan 0
Etoile Sahel 1
JS Manouba 0
Stade Tunisien 2
Ben Guerdane 1
CS Sfaxien 0
Gafsa 1
Soliman 0
Hammam-Lif 0
Esperance Tunis 4
AS Gabes 0
Zarzis 2
Quarter-finals
Monastir 3
Club Africain 0
Etoile Sahel 0
Stade Tunisien 1
Ben Guerdane 3
Gafsa 2
Esperance Tunis 3
Zarzis 1
Semi-finals
Monastir 0
Stade Tunisien 1
Ben Guerdane 0
Esperance Tunis 3
Final
Stade Tunisien 0
Esperance Tunis 1