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Oued Ellil vs Hamam-Sousse - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Tunisia Tunisia

Ligue 2 2024/2025
Oued Ellil Logo

Oued Ellil

0 - 0
FT
Hamam-Sousse Logo

Hamam-Sousse

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Ligue 2 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

62%
Oued Ellil
30%
Draws
8%
Hamam-Sousse
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Oued Ellil

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

62% / High Confidence
  • Oued Ellil haven't matched Hamam-Sousse's recent run of results.
  • Oued Ellil are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Ligue 2 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Oued Ellil Clean Sheet 68%
Hamam-Sousse Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Oued Ellil Hamam-Sousse
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 8 17
Draws 9 7
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 0.9 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.17 0.91
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 2, 2025 Ligue 2
Oued Ellil vs Hamam-Sousse
0:0
Feb 1, 2025 Tunisia Cup
Hamam-Sousse vs Oued Ellil
1:0
Nov 9, 2024 Ligue 2
Hamam-Sousse vs Oued Ellil
1:1
Apr 14, 2024 Ligue 2
Hamam-Sousse vs Oued Ellil
1:0
Nov 11, 2023 Ligue 2
Oued Ellil vs Hamam-Sousse
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Oued Ellil 95 / 100
Hamam-Sousse 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Oued Ellil Hamam-Sousse

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Oued Ellil Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Oued Ellil's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Hamam-Sousse let in goals in 71% of their last 34 matches.

Oued Ellil went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Hamam-Sousse's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Oued Ellil VS Hamam-Sousse
1 Goals Scored 2.13
2 Goals Conceded 0.25
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Oued Ellil

(Home)
08 Feb
Sahline
2 : 1
Oued Ellil
24 May
Kalaa
2 : 2
Oued Ellil
17 May
Oued Ellil
2 : 1
EM Mahdia
10 May
Ariana
0 : 1
Oued Ellil
05 May
Oued Ellil
1 : 1
Hammam-Lif
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Hamam-Sousse

(Away)
12 Sept
Hamam-Sousse
1 : 3
Stade Tunisien
06 Sept
Metlaoui
1 : 0
Hamam-Sousse
29 Aug
Club Africain
1 : 0
Hamam-Sousse
22 Aug
Hamam-Sousse
0 : 0
Monastir
29 May
Hamam-Sousse
2 : 3
PS Sakiet Eddaier
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AS Marsa 26 15 8 3 40:17 53
2 Megrine 26 15 7 4 49:23 52
3 Jendouba Sport 26 14 7 5 38:19 49
4 Hamam-Sousse 26 8 12 6 36:28 36
5 Korba 26 9 9 8 22:28 36
6 Hammam-Lif 26 8 10 8 25:26 34
7 Msaken 26 7 12 7 18:17 33
8 Ariana 26 10 3 13 33:33 33
9 Kalaa 26 8 7 11 30:34 31
10 EM Mahdia 26 9 4 13 26:37 31
11 Moknine 26 7 9 10 27:30 30
12 Menzel Bourguiba 26 7 9 10 18:27 30
13 Oued Ellil 26 6 9 11 23:32 27
14 Rades 26 2 8 16 16:50 14
Promotion - Ligue Professionnelle 1 2025/2026 (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 JS Kairouan 26 15 9 2 30:11 54
2 Kasserine 26 16 5 5 36:17 53
3 Kerkennah 26 12 8 6 36:21 44
4 Sfax Railways 26 12 8 6 35:22 44
5 PS Sakiet Eddaier 26 13 5 8 32:23 44
6 BS Bouhajla 26 9 6 11 21:22 33
7 Redeyef 26 10 3 13 23:25 33
8 Djelma 26 9 5 12 26:26 32
9 Sidi Bouzid 26 8 8 10 27:28 32
10 Chebba 26 9 5 12 24:29 32
11 Stade Gabesien 26 8 6 12 13:23 30
12 AS Agareb 26 7 9 10 23:35 30
13 ES Jerba 26 6 8 12 15:24 26
14 Espoir Rogba 26 3 5 18 19:54 13
Promotion - Ligue Professionnelle 1 2025/2026 (Main)