Sport Picks
Match Events
32'
32'
Ben Salem C.
AI Match Summary
Oued Ellil in this Ligue 2 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Oued Ellil.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
47%
30%
23%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Oued Ellil
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Kalaa have won more games recently than Oued Ellil.
- Win probability leans Oued Ellil's way, sitting at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Oued Ellil Clean Sheet 12%
Kalaa Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Oued Ellil | Kalaa |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 32 |
| Wins | 8 | 11 |
| Draws | 9 | 4 |
| Losses | 13 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 0.9 | 1.19 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.17 | 1.84 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.56 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 24, 2025 Ligue 2
Kalaa vs Oued Ellil
2:2
Jan 4, 2025 Ligue 2
Oued Ellil vs Kalaa
1:0
May 26, 2024 Ligue 2
Kalaa vs Oued Ellil
3:0
Dec 9, 2023 Ligue 2
Oued Ellil vs Kalaa
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Oued Ellil Compare
Top Goalscorer Ben Salem C.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78
Kalaa Compare
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Oued Ellil 83 / 100
Kalaa 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Oued Ellil Kalaa
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Oued Ellil Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Kalaa's defensive record shows goals conceded in 91% of 32 matches.
Attacking prowess: Oued Ellil scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.
Games between these two average 2.00 goals.
Recent resilience: Oued Ellil stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Oued Ellil VS Kalaa
1 Goals Scored 1.5
2 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 63%
100% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Oued Ellil
(Home) 08 Feb
Sahline
2 : 1 Oued Ellil
24 May
Kalaa
2 : 2 Oued Ellil
17 May
Oued Ellil
2 : 1 EM Mahdia
10 May
Ariana
0 : 1 Oued Ellil
05 May
Oued Ellil
1 : 1 Hammam-Lif
Page 1 of 6
17 May
Oued Ellil
2 : 1 EM Mahdia
05 May
Oued Ellil
1 : 1 Hammam-Lif
12 Apr
Oued Ellil
1 : 0 Msaken
15 Mar
Oued Ellil
0 : 0 Megrine
02 Mar
Oued Ellil
0 : 0 Hamam-Sousse
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Kalaa
(Away) 12 Sept
Kerkennah
5 : 0 Kalaa
12 May
Kalaa
1 : 3 Jendouba Sport
02 May
Ksour Essef
1 : 2 Kalaa
28 Apr
Kalaa
2 : 2 Redeyef
22 Apr
Stade Gabesien
2 : 0 Kalaa
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12 Sept
Kerkennah
5 : 0 Kalaa
02 May
Ksour Essef
1 : 2 Kalaa
22 Apr
Stade Gabesien
2 : 0 Kalaa
04 Apr
PS Sakiet Eddaier
5 : 0 Kalaa
21 Feb
Moknine
2 : 0 Kalaa
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AS Marsa | 26 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 40:17 | 53 |
| 2 | Megrine | 26 | 15 | 7 | 4 | 49:23 | 52 |
| 3 | Jendouba Sport | 26 | 14 | 7 | 5 | 38:19 | 49 |
| 4 | Hamam-Sousse | 26 | 8 | 12 | 6 | 36:28 | 36 |
| 5 | Korba | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 22:28 | 36 |
| 6 | Hammam-Lif | 26 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 25:26 | 34 |
| 7 | Msaken | 26 | 7 | 12 | 7 | 18:17 | 33 |
| 8 | Ariana | 26 | 10 | 3 | 13 | 33:33 | 33 |
| 9 | Kalaa | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 30:34 | 31 |
| 10 | EM Mahdia | 26 | 9 | 4 | 13 | 26:37 | 31 |
| 11 | Moknine | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 27:30 | 30 |
| 12 | Menzel Bourguiba | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 18:27 | 30 |
| 13 | Oued Ellil | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 23:32 | 27 |
| 14 | Rades | 26 | 2 | 8 | 16 | 16:50 | 14 |
Promotion - Ligue Professionnelle 1 2025/2026 (Main)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | JS Kairouan | 26 | 15 | 9 | 2 | 30:11 | 54 |
| 2 | Kasserine | 26 | 16 | 5 | 5 | 36:17 | 53 |
| 3 | Kerkennah | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 36:21 | 44 |
| 4 | Sfax Railways | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 35:22 | 44 |
| 5 | PS Sakiet Eddaier | 26 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 32:23 | 44 |
| 6 | BS Bouhajla | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 21:22 | 33 |
| 7 | Redeyef | 26 | 10 | 3 | 13 | 23:25 | 33 |
| 8 | Djelma | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 26:26 | 32 |
| 9 | Sidi Bouzid | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 27:28 | 32 |
| 10 | Chebba | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 24:29 | 32 |
| 11 | Stade Gabesien | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 13:23 | 30 |
| 12 | AS Agareb | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 23:35 | 30 |
| 13 | ES Jerba | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 15:24 | 26 |
| 14 | Espoir Rogba | 26 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 19:54 | 13 |
Promotion - Ligue Professionnelle 1 2025/2026 (Main)
